Millwall vs Derby County predictions, Mar 10, 2026

Mar 04, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

English League Championship, on Tuesday,

Millwall

Derby

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Millwall prepares to host Derby County on March 10, 2026, both teams enter the match with contrasting recent forms that could significantly influence the outcome. Millwall has demonstrated impressive form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches. Their recent performances indicate a solid tactical structure, featuring a cohesive defense paired with the capability to capitalize on counterattacks, making them a tough opponent at home.

On the other hand, Derby County has struggled to find consistency, managing only 2 wins in their last 5 outings. Their attacking play has shown glimpses of potential, yet they face challenges in maintaining defensive solidity, which could be exploited by Millwall’s pressing game.

The bookmakers lean towards a home victory, offering odds of 1.94 for Millwall, compared to 3.79 for an away win by Derby County. Our model suggests a 48.1% probability of a home win, alongside a 26.7% chance of a draw and a 25.2% likelihood of an away victory. While Millwall’s form is favorable, Derby County’s resilience and ability to surprise should not be overlooked. This match promises a competitive clash where either side could emerge victorious.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-04T09:52:03+00:00.

Millwall
48.3%		 Draw
27.4%		 Derby
24.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

Outrights of English League Championship Millwall: 2.72% Derby: 0.45%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 1.96 3.44 3.75 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 1.95 3.2 3.8
Pinnacle 1.94 3.57 3.79

Latest Results

28.02.26 Preston North End – Millwall – 0:2
25.02.26 Millwall – Birmingham City – 3:0
21.02.26 Millwall – Portsmouth FC – 1:3
14.02.26 Sheffield Wednesday – Millwall – 1:2
07.02.26 Wrexham AFC – Millwall – 0:2		 28.02.26 Derby County – Blackburn Rovers – 3:1
24.02.26 Hull City – Derby County – 4:2
21.02.26 Watford FC – Derby County – 2:0
14.02.26 Derby County – Swansea City – 2:0
07.02.26 Derby County – Ipswich Town – 1:2

Facts

  • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.
  • Millwall is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Derby‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Millwall will hold a modest advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    10.12.25 Derby County – Millwall – 1:1
    22.02.25 Derby County – Millwall – 0:1
    19.10.24 Millwall – Derby County – 1:1
    23.02.22 Derby County – Millwall – 1:2
    06.11.21 Millwall – Derby County – 1:1

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Coventry 35 21 8 6 72:38 34 71
    2 Middlesbrough 35 19 9 7 54:35 19 66
    3 Ipswich 34 18 9 7 60:34 26 63
    4 Millwall 35 18 8 9 47:40 7 62
    5 Hull 35 18 6 11 56:49 7 60
    6 Wrexham 35 15 12 8 54:45 9 57
    7 Southampton 35 14 11 10 57:46 11 53
    8 Derby 35 14 9 12 52:46 6 51
    9 Watford 35 13 12 10 45:41 4 51
    10 Bristol City 35 14 8 13 48:44 4 50
    11 Preston 35 12 13 10 41:40 1 49
    12 Birmingham 35 13 10 12 46:46 0 49
    13 Sheffield Utd 35 15 3 17 50:48 2 48
    14 Stoke 35 13 8 14 39:34 5 47
    15 QPR 35 13 8 14 46:54 -8 47
    16 Swansea 35 13 7 15 40:43 -3 46
    17 Norwich 35 13 6 16 47:44 3 45
    18 Charlton 35 10 11 14 33:44 -11 41
    19 Portsmouth 34 10 9 15 34:44 -10 39
    20 Blackburn 35 10 8 17 33:46 -13 38
    21 West Brom 35 9 8 18 34:52 -18 35
    22 Leicester 35 10 10 15 47:56 -9 34
    23 Oxford Utd 35 7 11 17 31:47 -16 32
    24 Sheffield Wed ✔ 35 1 8 26 21:71 -50 -7

    English League Championship Outrights

    1. Coventry: 1.44 (56.58%)

    2. Ipswich: 4.95 (16.47%)

    3. Middlesbrough: 5.78 (14.1%)

    4. Millwall: 30 (2.72%)

    5. Southampton: 100 (0.81%)

    6. Wrexham: 100 (0.81%)

    7. QPR: 100 (0.81%)

    8. Preston: 100 (0.81%)

    9. Stoke City: 100 (0.81%)

    10. Swansea: 100 (0.81%)

    11. Norwich: 100 (0.81%)

    12. Hull City: 100 (0.81%)

    13. Blackburn: 180.2 (0.45%)

    14. Portsmouth: 180.2 (0.45%)

    15. Sheffield Utd: 180.2 (0.45%)

    16. Watford: 180.2 (0.45%)

    17. Derby: 180.2 (0.45%)

    18. Bristol City: 180.2 (0.45%)

    19. Birmingham: 180.2 (0.45%)

    20. Charlton: 180.2 (0.45%)

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