Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain predictions, Feb 17, 2026

Feb 11, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

UEFA Champions League, on Tuesday,

Monaco

Paris Saint-Germain

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As AS Monaco prepares to host Paris Saint-Germain in the UEFA Champions League on February 17, 2026, the match promises to be a compelling clash between contrasting form and tactical approaches.

AS Monaco enters this fixture with a troubling trend, securing only 1 victory in their last 5 matches. This lack of momentum may raise concerns about their defensive solidity and overall cohesion. The team’s recent struggles could compel them to adopt a more cautious approach against a high-caliber opponent.

On the other hand, Paris Saint-Germain showcases a more favorable trend, winning 3 of their last 5 fixtures. Their attacking prowess remains a key strength, supported by a versatile midfield capable of dictating the game’s tempo. PSG’s ability to exploit gaps in the opponent’s defense could be pivotal, especially considering Monaco’s recent defensive vulnerabilities.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 5.55 for a home win, 1.56 for an away victory, reflecting the visitors’ status as favorites. Models predict a 63.6% probability of a PSG win, contrasting with a mere 16.8% chance for a Monaco victory. While the data leans heavily in favor of the Parisians, soccer’s unpredictable nature means that, on the day, anything can happen. Both teams will be eager to secure vital points in this high-stakes encounter.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-11T13:52:03+00:00.

Monaco
16.6%		 Draw
21.5%		 PSG
61.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of UEFA Champions League PSG: 8.73% Monaco: 0.72%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 5.6 4.49 1.52
betsson 5.75 4.75 1.52
MarathonBet 6.04 4.57 1.59
WilliamHill 5 4.2 1.53
Pinnacle 5.71 4.68 1.56
Best for US Customers 5.66 4.33 1.52

Latest Results

08.02.26 OGC Nice – AS Monaco – 0:0
05.02.26 RC Strasbourg – AS Monaco – 3:1
31.01.26 AS Monaco – Stade Rennes – 4:0
28.01.26 AS Monaco – Juventus – 0:0
24.01.26 Le Havre AC – AS Monaco – 0:0		 08.02.26 Paris Saint-Germain – Olympique Marseille – 5:0
01.02.26 RC Strasbourg – Paris Saint-Germain – 1:2
28.01.26 Paris Saint-Germain – Newcastle United – 1:1
23.01.26 AJ Auxerre – Paris Saint-Germain – 0:1
20.01.26 Sporting Lisbon – Paris Saint-Germain – 2:1

Facts

  • First leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 1.
  • In recent matches, Monaco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • PSG is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Monaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, PSG is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:50. (average 1.2:2.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.4:1.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    29.11.25 AS Monaco – Paris Saint-Germain – 1:0
    07.02.25 Paris Saint-Germain – AS Monaco – 4:1
    05.01.25 Paris Saint-Germain – AS Monaco – 1:0
    18.12.24 AS Monaco – Paris Saint-Germain – 2:4
    01.03.24 AS Monaco – Paris Saint-Germain – 0:0

    Standings

    League phase

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
    2 Bayern Munich 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
    3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
    4 Tottenham 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
    5 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
    6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
    7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
    8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
    9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
    10 Inter 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
    11 PSG 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
    12 Newcastle 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
    13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
    14 Atl. Madrid 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
    15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
    16 Bayer Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
    17 Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
    18 Olympiacos Piraeus 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
    19 Club Brugge KV 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
    20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
    21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
    22 Qarabag 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
    23 Bodo/Glimt 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
    24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
    25 Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
    26 Pafos 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
    27 Royale Union SG 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
    28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
    29 Ath Bilbao 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
    30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
    31 FC Copenhagen 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
    32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
    33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
    34 Slavia Prague 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
    35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
    36 Kairat Almaty 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1

    UEFA Champions League Outrights

    1. Arsenal: 4.5 (18.12%)

    2. Bayern Munich: 5.53 (14.73%)

    3. Manchester City: 8.07 (10.11%)

    4. Barcelona: 8.07 (10.11%)

    5. PSG: 9.33 (8.73%)

    6. Liverpool: 10.47 (7.79%)

    7. Real Madrid: 11.83 (6.89%)

    8. Chelsea: 18.17 (4.49%)

    9. Inter: 29.33 (2.78%)

    10. Tottenham: 34 (2.4%)

    11. Atl. Madrid: 36.17 (2.25%)

    12. Newcastle Utd: 40.83 (2%)

    13. Sporting CP: 58.67 (1.39%)

    14. Juventus: 71 (1.15%)

    15. Dortmund: 76.83 (1.06%)

    16. Atalanta: 80.17 (1.02%)

    17. Bayer Leverkusen: 83.5 (0.98%)

    18. Benfica: 100.17 (0.81%)

    19. Galatasaray: 108.5 (0.75%)

    20. Monaco: 112.67 (0.72%)

    21. Club Brugge: 150.17 (0.54%)

    22. Olympiacos Piraeus: 183.5 (0.44%)

    23. Bodo/Glimt: 208.5 (0.39%)

    24. Qarabag Agdam: 233.5 (0.35%)

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