New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles predictions, May 04, 2026

MLB, on Monday,

New York Yankees

Baltimore Orioles

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As the New York Yankees prepare to host the Baltimore Orioles on May 4, 2026, both teams bring notable recent performance into this match-up, promising an exciting encounter at Yankee Stadium.

The Yankees have shown impressive form, securing victories in four of their last five games, highlighting a robust offensive strategy and solid pitching performance. Their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities has been a key factor in their recent success, making them the favored team according to the bookmakers, who offer odds of 1.53 for a home win.

On the other hand, the Orioles have also demonstrated resilience, winning three of their last five contests. Their recent performances indicate a balanced approach, with a capacity to adjust tactics mid-game, potentially leveraging speed on the base paths and power hitting to challenge the Yankees’ pitching staff. The odds of 2.57 for an away win reflect a competitive, yet challenging matchup for Baltimore.

With a probability model predicting a 61% chance of a Yankees win versus a 39% chance for the Orioles, the stakes are high. However, both teams have shown they can contend well in tough situations, making this clash unpredictable. Expect a gripping showdown with potential for surprises on both sides.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-03T19:52:02+00:00.

NY Yankees
63.4%
Baltimore
36.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 5:3

Outrights of MLB New York Yankees: 11.8% Baltimore Orioles: 2.92%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 1.53 2.69
betsson 1.51 2.57
MarathonBet 1.55 2.67
WilliamHill 1.5 2.55

Latest Results

03.05.26 New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles – 11:3
02.05.26 New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles – 9:4
01.05.26 New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles – 7:2
29.04.26 Texas Rangers – New York Yankees – 3:0
28.04.26 Texas Rangers – New York Yankees – 2:3
03.05.26 New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles – 11:3
02.05.26 New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles – 9:4
01.05.26 New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles – 7:2
30.04.26 Baltimore Orioles – Houston Astros – 10:3
30.04.26 Baltimore Orioles – Houston Astros – 10:3

Facts

  • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 and 10).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Yankees won 4.
  • NY Yankees is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Baltimore has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • NY Yankees is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Yankees won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 126:52. (average 6.3:2.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, NY Yankees won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 73:25. (average 6.6:2.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    03.05.26 New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles – 11:3
    02.05.26 New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles – 9:4
    01.05.26 New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles – 7:2
    20.03.26 New York Yankees – Baltimore Orioles – 3:1
    20.02.26 Baltimore Orioles – New York Yankees – 2:0

    Standings

    Main

    American League

    Pl W L PCT
    1 New York Yankees 34 23 11 180:115 0.676
    2 Tampa Bay Rays 33 21 12 147:140 0.636
    3 Cleveland Guardians 34 18 16 145:142 0.529
    4 Athletics 33 17 16 142:158 0.515
    5 Detroit Tigers 34 17 17 151:139 0.500
    6 Chicago White Sox 33 16 17 141:155 0.485
    7 Texas Rangers 33 16 17 126:121 0.485
    8 Toronto Blue Jays 34 16 18 143:157 0.471
    9 Seattle Mariners 34 16 18 142:137 0.471
    10 Baltimore Orioles 34 15 19 154:184 0.441
    11 Minnesota Twins 35 15 20 165:170 0.429
    12 Kansas City Royals 33 14 19 136:156 0.424
    13 Houston Astros 35 14 21 178:201 0.400
    14 Los Angeles Angels 34 13 21 157:168 0.382
    15 Boston Red Sox 34 13 21 130:149 0.382

    National League

    Pl W L PCT
    1 Atlanta Braves 34 24 10 194:118 0.706
    2 Chicago Cubs 34 22 12 185:143 0.647
    3 Los Angeles Dodgers 34 21 13 175:112 0.618
    4 San Diego Padres 32 19 13 141:143 0.594
    5 Cincinnati Reds 34 20 14 141:163 0.588
    6 St.Louis Cardinals 34 20 14 166:166 0.588
    7 Milwaukee Brewers 33 18 15 172:127 0.545
    8 Pittsburgh Pirates 35 19 16 180:149 0.543
    9 Arizona Diamondbacks 33 16 17 150:181 0.485
    10 Miami Marlins 34 16 18 146:147 0.471
    11 Washington Nationals 35 16 19 180:197 0.457
    12 Philadelphia Phillies 34 14 20 131:174 0.412
    13 Colorado Rockies 34 14 20 144:161 0.412
    14 San Francisco Giants 34 13 21 106:140 0.382
    15 New York Mets 33 11 22 113:148 0.333

    MLB Outrights

    1. Los Angeles Dodgers: 2.8 (27.91%)

    2. New York Yankees: 6.63 (11.8%)

    3. Atlanta Braves: 11 (7.1%)

    4. Seattle Mariners: 12.75 (6.13%)

    5. Chicago Cubs: 15.75 (4.96%)

    6. Detroit Tigers: 18.75 (4.17%)

    7. Toronto Blue Jays: 20.5 (3.81%)

    8. Texas Rangers: 23.25 (3.36%)

    9. Baltimore Orioles: 26.75 (2.92%)

    10. Philadelphia Phillies: 27 (2.89%)

    11. Milwaukee Brewers: 29.25 (2.67%)

    12. San Diego Padres: 31.75 (2.46%)

    13. New York Mets: 39.25 (1.99%)

    14. Cincinnati Reds: 41.75 (1.87%)

    15. Boston Red Sox: 43 (1.82%)

    16. Houston Astros: 44.25 (1.77%)

    17. Cleveland Guardians: 44.25 (1.77%)

    18. Tampa Bay Rays: 50.5 (1.55%)

    19. Pittsburgh Pirates: 50.5 (1.55%)

    20. Kansas City Royals: 51.75 (1.51%)

    21. Athletics: 58.25 (1.34%)

    22. Arizona Diamondbacks: 68 (1.15%)

    23. Minnesota Twins: 101.75 (0.77%)

    24. San Francisco Giants: 106.75 (0.73%)

    25. St.Louis Cardinals: 138 (0.57%)

    26. Miami Marlins: 156.75 (0.5%)

    27. Los Angeles Angels: 200.5 (0.39%)

    28. Chicago White Sox: 313 (0.25%)

    29. Washington Nationals: 450.5 (0.17%)

    30. Colorado Rockies: 600.5 (0.13%)

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