North Carolina State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels predictions, Feb 17, 2026

NCAA College Basketball, on Tuesday,

North Carolina State

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As the North Carolina State Wolfpack prepares to host the North Carolina Tar Heels on February 17, 2026, fans can expect a fiercely competitive matchup in NCAA College Basketball. Both teams come into this game with strong recent performances, with the Wolfpack winning 3 of their last 5 matches, while the Tar Heels boast a more impressive record, having secured victories in 4 of their last 5 outings.

The Wolfpack will look to leverage their home court advantage, where they have historically fared well against rivals. Their tactical approach emphasizes solid defense and strategic ball movement, making them a challenge for opponents. Conversely, the Tar Heels are riding a wave of momentum, characterized by aggressive offense and strong rebounding that has contributed to their recent success.

Bookmakers favor the Wolfpack with odds of 1.31 for a home win, reflecting a 71.7% probability of victory according to model predictions. Meanwhile, the Tar Heels, with odds of 3.02, are considered the underdogs, holding a 28.3% chance of clinching an upset.

In this intense rivalry, both teams have something to prove. Fans can expect a thrilling encounter, though outcomes remain uncertain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-16T19:52:02+00:00.

North Carolina State
72.6%
North Carolina
27.4%

Prediction (the most likely score): 83:76

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball North Carolina: 0.72% NC State: 0.48%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 1.28 3.4
MarathonBet 1.26 3.72
WilliamHill 1.3 3.55
Pinnacle 1.31 3.02
Best for US Customers 1.3 3.4

Latest Results

14.02.26 North Carolina State Wolfpack basketball – Miami FL Hurricanes basketball – 76:77
09.02.26 Louisville Cardinals basketball – North Carolina State Wolfpack basketball – 118:77
07.02.26 North Carolina State Wolfpack basketball – Virginia Tech Hokies basketball – 82:73
03.02.26 Southern Methodist Mustangs basketball – North Carolina State Wolfpack basketball – 83:84
31.01.26 Wake Forest Demon Deacons basketball – North Carolina State Wolfpack basketball – 78:96
14.02.26 North Carolina Tar Heels basketball – Pittsburgh Panthers basketball – 79:65
10.02.26 Miami FL Hurricanes basketball – North Carolina Tar Heels basketball – 75:66
07.02.26 North Carolina Tar Heels basketball – Duke Blue Devils basketball – 71:68
02.02.26 North Carolina Tar Heels basketball – Syracuse Orange basketball – 87:77
31.01.26 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets basketball – North Carolina Tar Heels basketball – 75:91

Facts

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina State won 1.
  • In recent matches, North Carolina State has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • North Carolina is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • North Carolina State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, North Carolina State is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1500:1711. (average 75:85.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina State won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 722:797. (average 72.2:79.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    19.02.25 North Carolina Tar Heels basketball – North Carolina State Wolfpack basketball – 97:73
    11.01.25 North Carolina State Wolfpack basketball – North Carolina Tar Heels basketball – 61:63
    16.03.24 North Carolina Tar Heels basketball – North Carolina State Wolfpack basketball – 76:84
    02.03.24 North Carolina Tar Heels basketball – North Carolina State Wolfpack basketball – 79:70
    10.01.24 North Carolina State Wolfpack basketball – North Carolina Tar Heels basketball – 54:67

    Standings

    NCAA College Basketball Outrights

    1. Michigan Wolverines: 5.25 (13.8%)

    2. Arizona Wildcats: 5.5 (13.17%)

    3. Duke Blue Devils: 7.5 (9.66%)

    4. Houston Cougars: 8.5 (8.52%)

    5. Iowa State: 13 (5.57%)

    6. Florida Gators: 14 (5.18%)

    7. Illinois Fighting Illini: 14 (5.18%)

    8. Connecticut Huskies: 16 (4.53%)

    9. Purdue Boilermakers: 20 (3.62%)

    10. Kansas Jayhawks: 21 (3.45%)

    11. Texas Tech: 26 (2.79%)

    12. Gonzaga Bulldogs: 36 (2.01%)

    13. Nebraska Cornhuskers: 41 (1.77%)

    14. Vanderbilt Commodores: 46 (1.58%)

    15. Michigan State: 51 (1.42%)

    16. Arkansas Razorbacks: 51 (1.42%)

    17. Tennessee Volunteers: 67 (1.08%)

    18. Louisville: 67 (1.08%)

    19. Brigham Young: 67 (1.08%)

    20. Alabama Crimson Tide: 67 (1.08%)

    21. St. Johns Red Storm: 67 (1.08%)

    22. Virginia Cavaliers: 81 (0.89%)

    23. Kentucky Wildcats: 81 (0.89%)

    24. Wisconsin Badgers: 101 (0.72%)

    25. Iowa Hawkeyes: 101 (0.72%)

    26. St. Louis Billikens: 101 (0.72%)

    27. North Carolina: 101 (0.72%)

    28. Clemson: 126 (0.58%)

    29. Auburn Tigers: 151 (0.48%)

    30. NC State: 151 (0.48%)

    31. UCF Knights: 201 (0.36%)

    32. Texas A&M: 201 (0.36%)

    33. Villanova Wildcats: 251 (0.29%)

    34. Indiana Hoosiers: 251 (0.29%)

    35. SMU Mustangs: 251 (0.29%)

    36. Miami (FL): 251 (0.29%)

    37. Texas Longhorns: 251 (0.29%)

    38. UCLA: 251 (0.29%)

    39. Ohio State Buckeyes: 351 (0.21%)

    40. Georgia Bulldogs: 351 (0.21%)

    41. USC Trojans: 351 (0.21%)

    42. Virginia Tech: 501 (0.14%)

    43. Baylor Bears: 501 (0.14%)

    44. Seton Hall Pirates: 501 (0.14%)

    45. New Mexico: 501 (0.14%)

    46. San Diego State: 501 (0.14%)

    47. Oklahoma State: 501 (0.14%)

    48. Missouri Tigers: 751 (0.1%)

    49. Santa Clara: 751 (0.1%)

    50. Miami (Ohio): 751 (0.1%)

    51. California Golden Bears: 1001 (0.07%)

    52. Ole Miss Rebels: 1001 (0.07%)

    53. TCU: 1001 (0.07%)

    54. West Virginia: 1001 (0.07%)

    55. Syracuse Orange: 1001 (0.07%)

    56. Oklahoma Sooners: 1001 (0.07%)

    57. Stanford Cardinal: 1001 (0.07%)

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