Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid predictions, May 12, 2026

Spanish LaLiga, on Tuesday,

Osasuna

Atlético

Score, Highlights

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As Osasuna prepares to host Atlético Madrid in an exciting LaLiga clash on May 12, 2026, both teams enter the match with contrasting recent form. Osasuna has struggled, securing only one victory in their last five matches, which may affect their confidence and tactical approach at home. Conversely, Atlético Madrid has managed to claim two wins in their last five outings, suggesting a slightly stronger momentum as they head into this encounter.

The bookmakers provide a close line, with odds of 2.62 for a home win and 2.57 for an away victory, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup. Our model predicts a narrow split in probabilities, estimating a 36.6% chance for a home win and a 36.5% likelihood of an away triumph, alongside a 27.2% chance for a draw.

Tactically, Osasuna may need to employ a solid defensive setup to withstand Atlético’s attacking prowess, while the visitors will likely aim for a disciplined approach to capitalize on any defensive lapses. Given these dynamics, fans can expect a tightly contested match, though the outcome remains uncertain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-05T22:52:03+00:00.

Osasuna
36.5%
Draw
27%
Atlético
36.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Watch Watch and Bet Osasuna – Atlético available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 2.62 3.65 2.67
betsson 2.58 3.55 2.62
MarathonBet 2.67 3.68 2.71 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 2.5 3.4 2.5
Pinnacle 2.65 3.55 2.55

Latest Results

02.05.26 Osasuna – FC Barcelona – 1:2
26.04.26 Osasuna – Sevilla FC – 2:1
21.04.26 Athletic Bilbao – Osasuna – 1:0
12.04.26 Osasuna – Real Betis – 1:1
05.04.26 Deportivo Alavés – Osasuna – 2:2
05.05.26 Arsenal FC – Atlético Madrid – 1:0
02.05.26 CF Valencia – Atlético Madrid – 0:2
29.04.26 Atlético Madrid – Arsenal FC – 1:1
25.04.26 Atlético Madrid – Athletic Bilbao – 3:2
22.04.26 Elche CF – Atlético Madrid – 3:2

Facts

  • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 2.
  • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Osasuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:38. (average 0.7:1.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.6:1.9).

    Latest Head To Head

    18.10.25 Atlético Madrid – Osasuna – 1:0
    15.05.25 Osasuna – Atlético Madrid – 2:0
    12.01.25 Atlético Madrid – Osasuna – 1:0
    19.05.24 Atlético Madrid – Osasuna – 1:4
    28.09.23 Osasuna – Atlético Madrid – 0:2

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Barcelona ✔ 34 29 1 4 89:31 58 88
    2 Real Madrid ✔ 34 24 5 5 70:31 39 77
    3 Villarreal ✔ 34 21 5 8 64:39 25 68
    4 Atl. Madrid 34 19 6 9 58:37 21 63
    5 Betis 34 13 14 7 52:41 11 53
    6 Celta Vigo 34 12 11 11 48:44 4 47
    7 Getafe 34 13 5 16 28:36 -8 44
    8 Ath Bilbao 34 13 5 16 40:50 -10 44
    9 Real Sociedad 34 11 10 13 52:53 -1 43
    10 Osasuna 34 11 9 14 40:42 -2 42
    11 Rayo Vallecano 34 10 12 12 35:41 -6 42
    12 Valencia 34 10 9 15 37:50 -13 39
    13 Espanyol 34 10 9 15 37:51 -14 39
    14 Elche 34 9 11 14 45:53 -8 38
    15 Mallorca 34 10 8 16 42:51 -9 38
    16 Girona 34 9 11 14 36:51 -15 38
    17 Sevilla 34 10 7 17 41:55 -14 37
    18 Alaves 34 9 9 16 40:53 -13 36
    19 Levante 34 8 9 17 38:55 -17 33
    20 Oviedo 34 6 10 18 26:54 -28 28

    Spanish LaLiga Outrights

    1. null: 67 (100%)

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