Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions, Apr 07, 2026

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Ottawa

Tampa Bay

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On April 7, 2026, the Ottawa Senators host the Tampa Bay Lightning in what promises to be an intriguing matchup in the NHL. The Senators have struggled recently, securing only one victory in their last five games. Their current form suggests challenges in both offensive execution and defensive consistency, factors that may be exploited by their opponents.

Conversely, the Tampa Bay Lightning arrive in Ottawa with strong momentum, having won four of their last five outings. Their robust offense, characterized by quick transitions and effective shooting accuracy, coupled with a solid defensive structure, sets them up as formidable challengers. The Lightning’s ability to capitalize on power plays could be a decisive factor, especially against a Senators team that has faced difficulties in special team situations.

Bookmakers have favored Tampa Bay with odds at 2.25 for an away win compared to 2.81 for Ottawa. The statistical model suggests a probability distribution of 32.3% for a home victory, 21% for a draw, and a significant 46% chance for an away win. While Ottawa will aim to leverage their home ice advantage, the Lightning’s recent form and tactical prowess position them as clear favorites in this matchup. As always, hockey remains unpredictable, and the outcome could hinge on key moments throughout the game.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-05T10:52:02+00:00.

Ottawa
34.5%
Draw
22.4%
Tampa Bay
43.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:3

Outrights of NHL Tampa Bay Lightning: 16.69% Ottawa Senators: 2.69%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 2.81 4.32 2.25

Latest Results

04.04.26 Ottawa Senators – Minnesota Wild – 1:4
02.04.26 Ottawa Senators – Buffalo Sabres – 4:1
31.03.26 Florida Panthers – Ottawa Senators – 6:3
28.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 4:2
26.03.26 Ottawa Senators – Pittsburgh Penguins – 3:4 penalties
04.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Boston Bruins – 3:1
02.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Pittsburgh Penguins – 6:3
31.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 1:4
29.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Nashville Predators – 3:2
28.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 4:2

Facts

  • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
  • Tampa Bay is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 2.
  • Ottawa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Tampa Bay is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
  • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
  • We predict that Tampa Bay will win today’s game, with odds of 2.25.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 71:67. (average 3.6:3.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:31. (average 4.4:3.1).

    Latest Head To Head

    28.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 4:2
    09.10.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 4:5
    03.04.25 Ottawa Senators – Tampa Bay Lightning – 2:1
    06.02.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 5:1
    04.02.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 4:3

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Colorado Avalanche ✔ 75 44 6 10 15 285:193 110
    2 Dallas Stars ✔ 77 35 10 12 20 258:211 102
    3 Minnesota Wild ✔ 76 28 15 12 21 251:219 98
    4 Edmonton Oilers 77 30 9 9 29 265:257 87
    5 Anaheim Ducks 77 24 17 5 31 257:271 87
    6 Utah Mammoth 76 31 9 6 30 248:218 86
    7 Vegas Golden Knights 77 27 8 16 26 247:240 86
    8 Nashville Predators 76 26 10 9 31 231:253 81
    9 Los Angeles Kings 76 19 12 19 26 208:234 81
    10 San Jose Sharks 75 24 12 7 32 231:267 79
    11 Winnipeg Jets 76 26 7 12 31 215:232 78
    12 St. Louis Blues 75 28 4 12 31 202:236 76
    13 Seattle Kraken 75 25 7 11 32 210:237 75
    14 Calgary Flames 76 25 7 8 36 199:243 72
    15 Chicago Blackhawks 77 21 7 14 35 200:253 70
    16 Vancouver Canucks 76 15 7 8 46 201:295 52

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 76 36 13 6 21 272:222 104
    2 Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 76 39 9 6 22 277:211 102
    3 Montreal Canadiens 76 32 13 10 21 269:239 100
    4 Buffalo Sabres ✔ 77 38 8 8 23 266:231 100
    5 Boston Bruins 77 31 12 8 26 258:238 94
    6 Pittsburgh Penguins 77 32 7 16 22 275:248 94
    7 New York Islanders 78 28 14 5 31 226:229 89
    8 Detroit Red Wings 76 29 11 8 28 221:229 88
    9 Ottawa Senators 76 33 6 10 27 252:235 88
    10 Philadelphia Flyers 76 24 14 12 26 226:230 88
    11 Columbus Blue Jackets 77 27 11 12 27 241:238 88
    12 Washington Capitals 77 33 6 9 29 247:232 87
    13 New Jersey Devils 76 27 12 3 34 215:234 81
    14 Toronto Maple Leafs 77 23 9 14 31 242:275 78
    15 Florida Panthers 76 29 8 3 36 228:257 77
    16 New York Rangers 77 23 9 9 36 221:237 73

    NHL Outrights

    1. Colorado Avalanche: 4 (20.86%)

    2. Tampa Bay Lightning: 5 (16.69%)

    3. Carolina Hurricanes: 6 (13.9%)

    4. Dallas Stars: 11 (7.58%)

    5. Edmonton Oilers: 13 (6.42%)

    6. Vegas Golden Knights: 14.5 (5.75%)

    7. Buffalo Sabres: 17 (4.91%)

    8. Minnesota Wild: 18.5 (4.51%)

    9. Ottawa Senators: 31 (2.69%)

    10. Montreal Canadiens: 31 (2.69%)

    11. Pittsburgh Penguins: 32.5 (2.57%)

    12. Utah Mammoth: 33.5 (2.49%)

    13. Anaheim Ducks: 41 (2.03%)

    14. Boston Bruins: 56 (1.49%)

    15. Columbus Blue Jackets: 64 (1.3%)

    16. New York Islanders: 91 (0.92%)

    17. Detroit Red Wings: 101 (0.83%)

    18. Los Angeles Kings: 101 (0.83%)

    19. Philadelphia Flyers: 251 (0.33%)

    20. Nashville Predators: 251 (0.33%)

    21. San Jose Sharks: 301 (0.28%)

    22. Winnipeg Jets: 401 (0.21%)

    23. Washington Capitals: 451 (0.18%)

    24. St. Louis Blues: 1001 (0.08%)

    25. Seattle Kraken: 1751 (0.05%)

    26. New Jersey Devils: 1751 (0.05%)

    27. Calgary Flames: 3001 (0.03%)

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