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On April 7, 2026, the Ottawa Senators host the Tampa Bay Lightning in what promises to be an intriguing matchup in the NHL. The Senators have struggled recently, securing only one victory in their last five games. Their current form suggests challenges in both offensive execution and defensive consistency, factors that may be exploited by their opponents.
Conversely, the Tampa Bay Lightning arrive in Ottawa with strong momentum, having won four of their last five outings. Their robust offense, characterized by quick transitions and effective shooting accuracy, coupled with a solid defensive structure, sets them up as formidable challengers. The Lightning’s ability to capitalize on power plays could be a decisive factor, especially against a Senators team that has faced difficulties in special team situations.
Bookmakers have favored Tampa Bay with odds at 2.25 for an away win compared to 2.81 for Ottawa. The statistical model suggests a probability distribution of 32.3% for a home victory, 21% for a draw, and a significant 46% chance for an away win. While Ottawa will aim to leverage their home ice advantage, the Lightning’s recent form and tactical prowess position them as clear favorites in this matchup. As always, hockey remains unpredictable, and the outcome could hinge on key moments throughout the game.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-05T10:52:02+00:00.
| Ottawa 34.5% |
Draw 22.4% |
Tampa Bay 43.1% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 2:3
Outrights of NHL Tampa Bay Lightning: 16.69% Ottawa Senators: 2.69%
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.81 | 4.32 | 2.25 |
Latest Results
| 04.04.26 Ottawa Senators – Minnesota Wild – 1:4 02.04.26 Ottawa Senators – Buffalo Sabres – 4:1 31.03.26 Florida Panthers – Ottawa Senators – 6:3 28.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 4:2 26.03.26 Ottawa Senators – Pittsburgh Penguins – 3:4 penalties |
04.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Boston Bruins – 3:1 02.04.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Pittsburgh Penguins – 6:3 31.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Montreal Canadiens – 1:4 29.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Nashville Predators – 3:2 28.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 4:2 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 28.03.26 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 4:2 09.10.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 4:5 03.04.25 Ottawa Senators – Tampa Bay Lightning – 2:1 06.02.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 5:1 04.02.25 Tampa Bay Lightning – Ottawa Senators – 4:3 |
Standings
Main
Western Conference
| Pl | W | WO | LO | L | Pts | |||
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche ✔ | 75 | 44 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 285:193 | 110 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars ✔ | 77 | 35 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 258:211 | 102 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild ✔ | 76 | 28 | 15 | 12 | 21 | 251:219 | 98 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers | 77 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 265:257 | 87 |
| 5 | Anaheim Ducks | 77 | 24 | 17 | 5 | 31 | 257:271 | 87 |
| 6 | Utah Mammoth | 76 | 31 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 248:218 | 86 |
| 7 | Vegas Golden Knights | 77 | 27 | 8 | 16 | 26 | 247:240 | 86 |
| 8 | Nashville Predators | 76 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 31 | 231:253 | 81 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Kings | 76 | 19 | 12 | 19 | 26 | 208:234 | 81 |
| 10 | San Jose Sharks | 75 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 231:267 | 79 |
| 11 | Winnipeg Jets | 76 | 26 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 215:232 | 78 |
| 12 | St. Louis Blues | 75 | 28 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 202:236 | 76 |
| 13 | Seattle Kraken | 75 | 25 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 210:237 | 75 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 76 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 199:243 | 72 |
| 15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 77 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 35 | 200:253 | 70 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 76 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 201:295 | 52 |
Eastern Conference
| Pl | W | WO | LO | L | Pts | |||
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes ✔ | 76 | 36 | 13 | 6 | 21 | 272:222 | 104 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ | 76 | 39 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 277:211 | 102 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 76 | 32 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 269:239 | 100 |
| 4 | Buffalo Sabres ✔ | 77 | 38 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 266:231 | 100 |
| 5 | Boston Bruins | 77 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 258:238 | 94 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 77 | 32 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 275:248 | 94 |
| 7 | New York Islanders | 78 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 31 | 226:229 | 89 |
| 8 | Detroit Red Wings | 76 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 221:229 | 88 |
| 9 | Ottawa Senators | 76 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 252:235 | 88 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Flyers | 76 | 24 | 14 | 12 | 26 | 226:230 | 88 |
| 11 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 77 | 27 | 11 | 12 | 27 | 241:238 | 88 |
| 12 | Washington Capitals | 77 | 33 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 247:232 | 87 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 76 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 34 | 215:234 | 81 |
| 14 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 77 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 242:275 | 78 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 76 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 228:257 | 77 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 77 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 221:237 | 73 |
NHL Outrights
1. Colorado Avalanche: 4 (20.86%)
2. Tampa Bay Lightning: 5 (16.69%)
3. Carolina Hurricanes: 6 (13.9%)
4. Dallas Stars: 11 (7.58%)
5. Edmonton Oilers: 13 (6.42%)
6. Vegas Golden Knights: 14.5 (5.75%)
7. Buffalo Sabres: 17 (4.91%)
8. Minnesota Wild: 18.5 (4.51%)
9. Ottawa Senators: 31 (2.69%)
10. Montreal Canadiens: 31 (2.69%)
11. Pittsburgh Penguins: 32.5 (2.57%)
12. Utah Mammoth: 33.5 (2.49%)
13. Anaheim Ducks: 41 (2.03%)
14. Boston Bruins: 56 (1.49%)
15. Columbus Blue Jackets: 64 (1.3%)
16. New York Islanders: 91 (0.92%)
17. Detroit Red Wings: 101 (0.83%)
18. Los Angeles Kings: 101 (0.83%)
19. Philadelphia Flyers: 251 (0.33%)
20. Nashville Predators: 251 (0.33%)
21. San Jose Sharks: 301 (0.28%)
22. Winnipeg Jets: 401 (0.21%)
23. Washington Capitals: 451 (0.18%)
24. St. Louis Blues: 1001 (0.08%)
25. Seattle Kraken: 1751 (0.05%)
26. New Jersey Devils: 1751 (0.05%)
27. Calgary Flames: 3001 (0.03%)
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