Pachuca vs Toluca predictions, May 10, 2026

Mexican Liga MX, on Sunday,

Pachuca

Toluca

Score, Highlights

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As CF Pachuca prepares to host Deportivo Toluca on May 10, 2026, both teams enter this Liga MX clash with contrasting recent performances. Pachuca has shown resilience, securing victories in 3 of their last 5 matches, indicating a team that is gaining momentum and confidence. Their tactical approach often emphasizes ball control and attacking play, which could be pivotal in breaking down Toluca’s defenses.

On the other hand, Deportivo Toluca has struggled, managing to win only 1 of their last 5 encounters. This inconsistency may reflect a lack of cohesiveness in their game plan, potentially leaving them vulnerable on the road. While Toluca has the capability to exploit counter-attacks, their recent form raises concerns about their ability to maintain pressure in away fixtures.

Bookmakers have set the odds at 3.13 for a Pachuca victory and 2.24 for an away win, reflecting a slight edge for the visitors despite their struggles. Our model predicts a 31% chance of a home win, a 26.9% likelihood of a draw, and a 41.1% probability for an away victory. Ultimately, while Pachuca appears to be in favorable form, the unpredictable nature of soccer ensures that no outcome can be guaranteed.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-04T22:52:02+00:00.

Pachuca
28.6%
Draw
26.4%
Toluca
45.1%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX Pachuca: 12.76% Toluca: 5.11%

Watch Watch and Bet Pachuca – Toluca available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 3.39 3.7 2.17
betsson 3.25 3.55 2.08
MarathonBet 3.25 3.56 2.06 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 3.1 3.3 1.95
Pinnacle 3.36 3.45 2.12

Latest Results

03.05.26 Deportivo Toluca – CF Pachuca – 0:1
25.04.26 CF Pachuca – UNAM Pumas – 0:2
22.04.26 Club Tijuana – CF Pachuca – 3:1
18.04.26 CF Monterrey – CF Pachuca – 1:3
11.04.26 CF Pachuca – Santos Laguna – 4:2
03.05.26 Deportivo Toluca – CF Pachuca – 0:1
29.04.26 Los Angeles FC – Deportivo Toluca – 2:1
25.04.26 Deportivo Toluca – Club León – 4:1
22.04.26 Mazatlan FC – Deportivo Toluca – 4:3
18.04.26 Club América – Deportivo Toluca – 2:1

Facts

  • First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
  • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 1.
  • Pachuca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Toluca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Toluca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:36. (average 1.8:1.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).

    Latest Head To Head

    03.05.26 Deportivo Toluca – CF Pachuca – 0:1
    22.03.26 CF Pachuca – Deportivo Toluca – 1:1
    26.10.25 Deportivo Toluca – CF Pachuca – 2:2
    29.03.25 Deportivo Toluca – CF Pachuca – 3:2
    17.09.24 CF Pachuca – Deportivo Toluca – 2:2

    Standings

    Draw

    Clausura – Play Offs

    Quarter-finals

    1 UNAM Pumas (1) Club America (8) 3 : 3
    2 Pachuca (4) Toluca (5) 1 : 0
    3 Guadalajara Chivas (2) Tigres UANL (7) 1 : 3
    4 Cruz Azul (3) Atlas (6) 3 : 2

    Mexican Liga MX Outrights

    1. Cruz Azul: 3.5 (21.88%)

    2. UNAM Pumas: 3.78 (20.29%)

    3. Tigres UANL: 4.5 (17.02%)

    4. Pachuca: 6 (12.76%)

    5. Club America: 8 (9.57%)

    6. Guadalajara Chivas: 12 (6.38%)

    7. Guadalajara: 13.5 (5.67%)

    8. Toluca: 15 (5.11%)

    9. Atlas: 58 (1.32%)

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