Querétaro vs Toluca predictions, Apr 04, 2026

Mar 30, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Mexican Liga MX, on Saturday,

Querétaro

Toluca

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Querétaro FC prepares to host Deportivo Toluca on April 4, 2026, the match presents a significant clash in the Mexican Liga MX. Querétaro arrives at this fixture struggling for form, having failed to secure a win in their last five matches. This lack of momentum has raised concerns regarding their ability to perform under pressure, particularly against a Toluca side that has seen improvement, with two victories in their last five outings.

Tactically, Querétaro will need to address their defensive vulnerabilities while finding ways to convert possession into goal-scoring opportunities. Their recent performances have indicated difficulties in both creating chances and securing consistency at the back.

In contrast, Deportivo Toluca’s recent form suggests a more confident approach as they look to exploit Querétaro’s weaknesses. With odds favoring the away team at 1.56 compared to Querétaro’s 5.55, bookmakers reflect the current state of play.

Statistically, our model predicts a 62.4% probability of an away win, further emphasizing Toluca’s stronger position heading into this match. While Querétaro will be eager to turn their fortunes around, the challenge they face from a resurgent Toluca side makes this encounter compelling, but guarantees remain elusive in soccer.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-29T21:52:03+00:00.

Querétaro
17%		 Draw
22.8%		 Toluca
60.2%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:2

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX Toluca: 19.39% Queretaro: 0.17%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 5.69 4.23 1.55
betsson 5.4 4.15 1.55
MarathonBet 5.37 4.1 1.55 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 5 3.75 1.5
Pinnacle 5.46 4.27 1.56

Latest Results

21.03.26 Club Atlas – Querétaro FC – 0:0
15.03.26 Tigres UANL – Querétaro FC – 0:0
07.03.26 Querétaro FC – Club América – 1:2
04.03.26 CF Monterrey – Querétaro FC – 4:0
27.02.26 Querétaro FC – Santos Laguna – 2:2		 22.03.26 CF Pachuca – Deportivo Toluca – 1:1
18.03.26 Deportivo Toluca – San Diego FC – 4:0
14.03.26 Deportivo Toluca – Club Atlas – 1:1
11.03.26 San Diego FC – Deportivo Toluca – 3:2
08.03.26 Deportivo Toluca – FC Juárez – 3:1

Facts

  • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 0.
  • Querétaro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • In recent matches, Toluca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • In this match, Toluca is the team to beat.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:39. (average 1.1:2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

    Latest Head To Head

    18.10.25 Deportivo Toluca – Querétaro FC – 4:0
    26.02.25 Deportivo Toluca – Querétaro FC – 5:0
    18.10.24 Querétaro FC – Deportivo Toluca – 0:1
    12.01.24 Querétaro FC – Deportivo Toluca – 2:2
    08.10.23 Deportivo Toluca – Querétaro FC – 3:1

    Standings

    Clausura

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Guadalajara Chivas 12 10 0 2 25:11 14 30
    2 Cruz Azul 12 8 3 1 23:12 11 27
    3 Toluca 12 7 5 0 19:7 12 26
    4 UNAM Pumas 12 6 5 1 21:12 9 23
    5 Pachuca 12 6 4 2 15:10 5 22
    6 Atlas 12 5 3 4 14:16 -2 18
    7 Tigres UANL 12 5 2 5 18:14 4 17
    8 Club America 12 5 2 5 13:11 2 17
    9 Monterrey 12 4 2 6 18:15 3 14
    10 Juarez 11 4 2 5 18:20 -2 14
    11 Necaxa 12 4 1 7 14:16 -2 13
    12 Club Leon 12 4 1 7 13:24 -11 13
    13 Club Tijuana 12 2 6 4 12:14 -2 12
    14 Puebla 12 3 3 6 10:15 -5 12
    15 Atl. San Luis 12 3 2 7 18:21 -3 11
    16 Mazatlan FC 12 3 2 7 14:23 -9 11
    17 Queretaro 11 1 5 5 8:16 -8 8
    18 Santos Laguna 12 2 2 8 14:30 -16 8

    Mexican Liga MX Outrights

    1. Toluca: 4.5 (19.39%)

    2. Cruz Azul: 4.5 (19.39%)

    3. Tigres UANL: 9 (9.7%)

    4. Club America: 9 (9.7%)

    5. UNAM Pumas: 9 (9.7%)

    6. Guadalajara: 9.75 (8.95%)

    7. Pachuca: 11 (7.93%)

    8. Monterrey: 15 (5.82%)

    9. Atlas: 21 (4.16%)

    10. Juarez: 67 (1.3%)

    11. Necaxa: 126 (0.69%)

    12. Atletico San Luis: 126 (0.69%)

    13. Puebla: 126 (0.69%)

    14. Club Leon: 151 (0.58%)

    15. Club Tijuana: 151 (0.58%)

    16. Mazatlan FC: 201 (0.43%)

    17. Queretaro: 501 (0.17%)

    18. Santos Laguna: 751 (0.12%)

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