Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli predictions, Apr 04, 2026

ATP Marrakech, on Saturday,

Rafael Jodar

Ugo Carabelli

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Rafael Jodar prepares to face Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the upcoming ATP Marrakech clash on April 4, 2026, both players enter the match with contrasting momentum. Jodar boasts a recent record of three wins from his last five matches, demonstrating resilience and competitive spirit, particularly on home soil. His tactical strength lies in his aggressive baseline play, allowing him to control rallies and dictate the pace.

On the other hand, Carabelli arrives with a stronger recent form, having secured four victories in his last five encounters. His gameplay is characterized by tactical versatility and an ability to adapt under pressure, making him a formidable opponent. Carabelli’s blend of powerful serves and strategic shot placement could pose challenges for Jodar.

According to bookmakers, Jodar is favored with odds of 1.59 for a home victory, while Carabelli stands at 2.34 as the away contender. Statistical models predict a 62.7% chance of a home win, while a victory for Carabelli is estimated at 37.3%. Although Jodar is predicted to secure a straight-sets victory (2:0), the outcome remains uncertain given the unpredictable nature of tennis. Fans can expect a competitive match as both players aim to capitalize on their strengths.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-03T16:52:03+00:00.

Jodar
60.2%
Ugo Carabelli
39.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0

Watch Watch and Bet Jodar – Ugo Carabelli available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 1.58 2.34
MarathonBet 1.62 2.36 Watch Watch and Bet
Pinnacle 1.52 2.42

Latest Results

03.04.26 Alexandre Muller – Rafael Jodar – Muller A. Retired
02.04.26 Rafael Jodar – Tomas Machac – 2:1
31.03.26 Rafael Jodar – Dusan Lajovic – 2:0
22.03.26 Rafael Jodar – Tomas Martin Etcheverry – 0:2
21.03.26 Aleksandar Vukic – Rafael Jodar – 0:2
03.04.26 Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Luca Van Assche – 2:1
02.04.26 Ignacio Buse – Camilo Ugo Carabelli – 1:2
31.03.26 Timofey Skatov – Camilo Ugo Carabelli – 1:2
20.03.26 Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Sebastian Korda – 0:2
19.03.26 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard – Camilo Ugo Carabelli – 1:2

Facts

  • Jodar is ranked ATP: 89. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 67.
  • Jodar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Ugo Carabelli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Jodar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Jodar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
  • Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/16-finals

    1 Darderi L. (1) Bye
    2 Bellucci M. Bennani R. (WC) 2 : 1
    3 Bennani K. (WC) Halys Q. 2 : 1
    4 De Jong J. Hanfmann Y. (8) 0 : 2
    5 Moutet C. (3) Bye
    6 Vukic A. Baadi T. (WC) 1 : 2
    7 Rocha H. (Q) Trungelliti M. (Q) 0 : 2
    8 Cerundolo J. M. Majchrzak K. (5) 1 : 2
    9 Kopriva V. (6) Medjedovic H. 2 : 1
    10 Cina F. (NG) Muller A. 0 : 2
    11 Jodar R. Lajovic D. (Q) 2 : 0
    12 Bye Machac T. (4)
    13 Buse I. (7) Berrettini M. 2 : 1
    14 Skatov T. (Q) Ugo Carabelli C. 1 : 2
    15 van Assche L. Gaston H. 2 : 0
    16 Bye Griekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals

    1 Darderi L. (1) Bellucci M. 2 : 0
    2 Bennani K. Hanfmann Y. (8) 1 : 2
    3 Moutet C. (3) Baadi T. 2 : 0
    4 Trungelliti M. Majchrzak K. (5) 2 : 0
    5 Kopriva V. (6) Muller A. 0 : 2
    6 Jodar R. Machac T. (4) 2 : 1
    7 Buse I. (7) Ugo Carabelli C. 1 : 2
    8 van Assche L. Griekspoor T. (2) 2 : 1

    Quarter-finals

    1 Darderi L. (WO.) (1) Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2 Moutet C. (3) Trungelliti M. 1 : 2
    3 Muller A. (RET.) Jodar R. 0 : 1
    4 Ugo Carabelli C. van Assche L. 2 : 1

    Semi-finals

    1 Darderi L. (1) Trungelliti M.
    2 Jodar R. Ugo Carabelli C.

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

    ATP Marrakech Outrights

    1. Darderi Luciano: 1.91 (43.95%)

    2. Jodar Rafael: 5 (16.79%)

    3. Moutet Corentin: 7 (11.99%)

    4. van Assche Luca: 9.5 (8.84%)

    5. Ugo Carabelli Camilo: 9.5 (8.84%)

    6. Muller Alexandre: 15 (5.6%)

    7. Trungelliti Marco: 21 (4%)

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