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As the ATP Australian Open approaches, the matchup between Roberto Carballes Baena and Gilles Arnaud Bailly promises to be an intriguing contest. Scheduled for January 13, 2026, at Carballes Baena’s home venue, the match pits a seasoned player against a rising talent.
Roberto Carballes Baena enters this showdown with a solid recent form, having won 2 of his last 3 matches. His playing style is characterized by exceptional baseline consistency and a strong defensive game, allowing him to wear down opponents. This will be crucial as he aims to capitalize on his home advantage.
On the other hand, Gilles Arnaud Bailly has secured 1 win from his last 2 outings. Although his recent form is not as robust as Carballes Baena’s, Bailly possesses an aggressive playing style, often looking to dictate points with powerful groundstrokes.
Bookmakers have set the odds at 1.6 for the home player and 2.26 for the visitor, reflecting Carballes Baena’s slight edge. While recent performances suggest a favorable outcome for Carballes Baena, Bailly’s potential to disrupt with tactical aggression makes this match anything but predictable. Both players will need to harness their strengths to secure a vital win in this early-round encounter.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-12T11:52:03+00:00.
| Carballes Baena 58.3% |
Bailly 41.7% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 2:0
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 2.22 | |||
| 1.58 | 2.41 | |||
| 1.6 | 2.26 | |||
| 1.64 | 2.12 |
Latest Results
| 11.01.26 Roberto Carballes Baena – Arthur Bouquier – 2:0 06.01.26 Roberto Carballes Baena – Alexander Blockx – 1:2 05.01.26 Roberto Carballes Baena – Colton Smith – 2:0 14.10.25 Roberto Carballes Baena – Nerman Fatic – 0:2 01.10.25 Sumit Nagal – Roberto Carballes Baena – Carballes Baena R. retired |
11.01.26 Jack Pinnington Jones – Gilles Arnaud Bailly – 0:2 03.01.26 Gilles Arnaud Bailly – Jack Pinnington Jones – 1:2 09.11.25 Gilles Arnaud Bailly – Mikhail Kukushkin – 0:2 02.11.25 Gilles Arnaud Bailly – Carlo Alberto Caniato – 0:2 01.11.25 Gilles Arnaud Bailly – Rafael Izquierdo Luque – 2:0 |
Facts
Standings
Draw
2026
Quarter-finals
| 1 | Dodig M. (Alt) | Hassan B. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Faria J. | Mikrut L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Reis Da Silva J. | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Sekulic P. (WC) | Trungelliti M. (18) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Burruchaga R. A. (2) | Peniston R. | |
| 6 | Kolar Z. | Gea A. | |
| 7 | Harris L. | Cina F. | |
| 8 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Vallejo D. (30) | |
| 9 | Basilashvili N. (3) | Bueno G. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Herbert P. | Den Ouden G. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Marinkov P. (WC) | McCabe J. | |
| 12 | Watanuki Y. | Budkov Kjaer N. (23) | |
| 13 | Barrios Vera T. (4) | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | |
| 14 | Hewitt C. (WC) | Zheng M. | |
| 15 | Crawford O. | Merida Aguilar D. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Piros Z. | Klein L. (28) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Holt B. (5) | Neumayer L. | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Zeppieri G. | Added D. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Sakamoto R. | Evans D. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Pavlovic L. | Smith C. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | McDonald M. (6) | Popko D. | |
| 22 | Galan D. E. | Grenier H. | |
| 23 | Sachko V. | Durasovic V. (Alt) | |
| 24 | Bouzige M. (WC) | Draxl L. (20) | |
| 25 | Blockx A. (7) | Cecchinato M. | |
| 26 | Shimabukuro S. | Molcan A. | |
| 27 | Kubler J. | Mayot H. | |
| 28 | Moreno De Alboran N. | Gaubas V. (17) | |
| 29 | Nishioka Y. (8) | Fatic N. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Engel J. | Loffhagen G. | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Galarneau A. | Basavareddy N. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Holmgren A. | Ofner S. (19) | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Moller E. (9) | Polmans M. (WC) | |
| 34 | Bolt A. | Ymer E. | |
| 35 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Bernet H. (WC) | |
| 36 | Wong C. | Blanchet U. (31) | |
| 37 | Tseng C. H. (10) | Landaluce M. | |
| 38 | Ellis B. (WC) | Travaglia S. | |
| 39 | Kym J. | Prado Angelo J. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Sweeny D. | Pellegrino A. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 41 | Choinski J. (11) | Riedi L. | |
| 42 | Coppejans K. | Nishikori K. | |
| 43 | Ficovich J. P. | Rodionov J. | |
| 44 | Habib H. | Svajda Z. (29) | |
| 45 | Virtanen O. (12) | Mejia N. | |
| 46 | Wu Y. | Krueger M. | |
| 47 | Boyer T. | Barrena A. | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Lajal M. | Passaro F. (27) | 0 : 2 |
| 49 | Lajovic D. (13) | Diaz Acosta F. | 2 : 1 |
| 50 | Cassone M. | Hsu Y. H. | 2 : 1 |
| 51 | Guillen Meza A. | Seyboth Wild T. | |
| 52 | Giustino L. | Maestrelli F. (24) | |
| 53 | Prizmic D. (14) | Olivieri G. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 54 | Heide G. | Clarke J. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Fery A. | Winter E. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Tomic B. | Dellien H. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 57 | Harris B. (15) | Rodesch C. | |
| 58 | Tu L. (WC) | Jodar R. | |
| 59 | Glinka D. | Tabur C. | 2 : 1 |
| 60 | van Assche L. | Echargui M. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 61 | Carballes Baena R. (16) | Bouquier A. | 2 : 0 |
| 62 | Pinnington Jones J. | Bailly G. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Damm M. | Onclin G. | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Droguet T. | Jarry N. (21) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals
| 1 | Hassan B. | Faria J. | |
| 2 | Rocha H. | Trungelliti M. (18) | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 | |
| 5 | Bueno G. | Herbert P. | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | Merida Aguilar D. | Klein L. (28) | |
| 9 | Holt B. (5) | Zeppieri G. | |
| 10 | Sakamoto R. | Smith C. (32) | |
| 11 | TBD #21 | TBD #22 | |
| 12 | TBD #23 | TBD #24 | |
| 13 | TBD #25 | TBD #26 | |
| 14 | TBD #27 | TBD #28 | |
| 15 | Nishioka Y. (8) | Loffhagen G. | |
| 16 | Basavareddy N. | Ofner S. (19) | |
| 17 | TBD #33 | TBD #34 | |
| 18 | TBD #35 | TBD #36 | |
| 19 | TBD #37 | TBD #38 | |
| 20 | Kym J. | Sweeny D. | |
| 21 | TBD #41 | TBD #42 | |
| 22 | TBD #43 | TBD #44 | |
| 23 | TBD #45 | TBD #46 | |
| 24 | Boyer T. | Passaro F. (27) | |
| 25 | Lajovic D. (13) | Cassone M. | |
| 26 | TBD #51 | TBD #52 | |
| 27 | Prizmic D. (14) | Heide G. | |
| 28 | Fery A. | Tomic B. | |
| 29 | TBD #57 | TBD #58 | |
| 30 | Glinka D. | van Assche L. | |
| 31 | Carballes Baena R. (16) | Bailly G. A. | |
| 32 | Damm M. | Droguet T. |
Final
| 1 | TBD #1 | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | TBD #5 | TBD #6 | |
| 4 | TBD #7 | TBD #8 | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | TBD #10 | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | TBD #12 | |
| 7 | TBD #13 | TBD #14 | |
| 8 | TBD #15 | TBD #16 | |
| 9 | TBD #17 | TBD #18 | |
| 10 | TBD #19 | TBD #20 | |
| 11 | TBD #21 | TBD #22 | |
| 12 | TBD #23 | TBD #24 | |
| 13 | TBD #25 | TBD #26 | |
| 14 | TBD #27 | TBD #28 | |
| 15 | TBD #29 | TBD #30 | |
| 16 | TBD #31 | TBD #32 |
ATP Australian Open Outrights
1. Sinner Jannik: 1.96 (29.51%)
2. Alcaraz Carlos: 2.5 (23.07%)
3. Djokovic Novak: 9.75 (5.92%)
4. Zverev Alexander: 17 (3.39%)
5. Medvedev Daniil: 19.25 (3%)
6. Fritz Taylor: 33.75 (1.71%)
7. Shelton Ben: 37.75 (1.53%)
8. De Minaur Alex: 41.5 (1.39%)
9. Fonseca Joao: 42.5 (1.36%)
10. Bublik Alexander: 46.5 (1.24%)
11. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 59 (0.98%)
12. Musetti Lorenzo: 63.5 (0.91%)
13. Mpetshi Perricard Giovanni: 67.25 (0.86%)
14. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 67.25 (0.86%)
15. Rublev Andrey: 68.5 (0.84%)
16. Mensik Jakub: 76 (0.76%)
17. Dimitrov Grigor: 82 (0.7%)
18. Korda Sebastian: 85 (0.68%)
19. Hurkacz Hubert: 85 (0.68%)
20. Paul Tommy: 88.5 (0.65%)
21. Berrettini Matteo: 92 (0.63%)
22. Ruud Casper: 97 (0.59%)
23. Tiafoe Frances: 103.5 (0.56%)
24. Machac Tomas: 103.5 (0.56%)
25. Lehecka Jiri: 109 (0.53%)
26. Tien Learner: 123.5 (0.47%)
27. Humbert Ugo: 123.5 (0.47%)
28. Sonego Lorenzo: 126 (0.46%)
29. Khachanov Karen: 128.5 (0.45%)
30. Cobolli Flavio: 131 (0.44%)
31. Popyrin Alexei: 141 (0.41%)
32. Michelsen Alex: 147 (0.39%)
33. Zhang Zhizhen: 151 (0.38%)
34. Shapovalov Denis: 151 (0.38%)
35. Cerundolo Francisco: 176 (0.33%)
36. Cazaux Arthur: 176 (0.33%)
37. Vacherot Valentin: 198.5 (0.29%)
38. Norrie Cameron: 201 (0.29%)
39. Thompson Jordan: 201 (0.29%)
40. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 201 (0.29%)
41. Nakashima Brandon: 201 (0.29%)
42. Rinderknech Arthur: 201 (0.29%)
43. Altmaier Daniel: 201 (0.29%)
44. Monfils Gael: 201 (0.29%)
45. Kokkinakis Thanasi: 213.5 (0.27%)
46. Fearnley Jacob: 226 (0.26%)
47. Nishikori Kei: 301 (0.19%)
48. Diallo Gabriel: 301 (0.19%)
49. Royer Valentin: 301 (0.19%)
50. Munar Jaume: 301 (0.19%)
51. Griekspoor Tallon: 301 (0.19%)
52. Comesana Francisco: 301 (0.19%)
53. Brooksby Jenson: 301 (0.19%)
54. Giron Marcos: 301 (0.19%)
55. Bonzi Benjamin: 301 (0.19%)
56. Collignon Raphael: 301 (0.19%)
57. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 301 (0.19%)
58. Struff Jan-Lennard: 301 (0.19%)
59. Cilic Marin: 301 (0.19%)
60. Arnaldi Matteo: 301 (0.19%)
61. Mannarino Adrian: 301 (0.19%)
62. Fucsovics Marton: 301 (0.19%)
63. Bautista-Agut Roberto: 301 (0.19%)
64. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 301 (0.19%)
65. Kecmanovic Miomir: 301 (0.19%)
66. Tabilo Alejandro: 301 (0.19%)
67. Vukic Aleksandar: 301 (0.19%)
68. Muller Alexandre: 301 (0.19%)
69. Spizzirri Eliot: 301 (0.19%)
70. Opelka Reilly: 301 (0.19%)
71. Medjedovic Hamad: 301 (0.19%)
72. Majchrzak Kamil: 301 (0.19%)
73. Marozsan Fabian: 301 (0.19%)
74. Wawrinka Stan: 301 (0.19%)
75. O’Connell Christopher: 301 (0.19%)
76. Hanfmann Yannick: 301 (0.19%)
77. Darderi Luciano: 501 (0.12%)
78. Bergs Zizou: 501 (0.12%)
79. Kovacevic Aleksandar: 501 (0.12%)
80. De Jong Jesper: 501 (0.12%)
81. Kopriva Vit: 501 (0.12%)
82. Cerundolo Juan Manuel: 501 (0.12%)
83. Djere Laslo: 501 (0.12%)
84. Nardi Luca: 501 (0.12%)
85. Halys Quentin: 501 (0.12%)
86. Mochizuki Shintaro: 501 (0.12%)
87. Ruusuvuori Emil: 501 (0.12%)
88. Bellucci Mattia: 501 (0.12%)
89. Martinez Pedro: 501 (0.12%)
90. Bu Yunchaokete: 501 (0.12%)
91. Shevchenko Alexander: 501 (0.12%)
92. Nava Emilio: 501 (0.12%)
93. Baez Sebastian: 501 (0.12%)
94. Taberner Carlos: 501 (0.12%)
95. Svrcina Dalibor: 501 (0.12%)
96. Gaston Hugo: 501 (0.12%)
97. Duckworth James: 501 (0.12%)
98. Jacquet Kyrian: 501 (0.12%)
99. Ugo Carabelli Camilo: 501 (0.12%)
100. Carreno-Busta Pablo: 501 (0.12%)
101. Atmane Terence: 501 (0.12%)
102. Navone Mariano: 501 (0.12%)
103. Kypson Patrick: 501 (0.12%)
104. Hijikata Rinky: 501 (0.12%)
105. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 501 (0.12%)
106. Schoolkate Tristan: 501 (0.12%)
107. Buse Ignacio: 501 (0.12%)
108. Dzumhur Damir: 501 (0.12%)
109. Quinn Ethan: 501 (0.12%)
110. Walton Adam: 501 (0.12%)
111. Garin Cristian: 501 (0.12%)
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