Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jacob Fearnley predictions, May 04, 2026

May 03, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Roma, on Monday,

Shintaro Mochizuki

Jacob Fearnley

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As the ATP Roma event approaches on May 4, 2026, Shintaro Mochizuki is set to face Jacob Fearnley in what promises to be a compelling encounter. Playing on home soil, Mochizuki has the advantage of familiar conditions, a factor that can often sway the outcome in favor of the home player.

Recent performance indicates that Mochizuki has shown resilience, securing victories in 2 of his last 4 matches. His game is characterized by a powerful serve and agile baseline play, which can test Fearnley’s defense. Conversely, Fearnley has struggled recently, managing to win only 1 of his last 4 matches. This run of form may impact his confidence, especially against a determined opponent like Mochizuki.

The bookmakers reflect this dynamic, pricing Mochizuki at odds of 2.66 for a home win against Fearnley’s 1.42 as the away favorite. While the odds suggest a leaning towards Fearnley, the recent form disparity points to Mochizuki’s potential to capitalize on any weaknesses displayed by his opponent.

In conclusion, while Fearnley may be favored, Mochizuki’s home advantage and recent performance trends could make this matchup a tightly contested affair. Betting on this match requires careful consideration of both players’ abilities and current form, as the outcome remains uncertain.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-03T15:52:04+00:00.

Mochizuki
34.8%		 Fearnley
65.2%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
Pinnacle 2.66 1.42

Latest Results

23.03.26 Shintaro Mochizuki – Keegan Smith – 2:1
16.03.26 Jay Clarke – Shintaro Mochizuki – 2:1
12.03.26 Mariano Navone – Shintaro Mochizuki – 2:0
11.03.26 Nicolas Mejia – Shintaro Mochizuki – 0:2
03.03.26 Benjamin Bonzi – Shintaro Mochizuki – 2:1		 19.03.26 Martin Damm – Jacob Fearnley – Fearnley J. retired
12.03.26 Jacob Fearnley – Arthur Cazaux – 1:2
07.03.26 Jacob Fearnley – Taylor Harry Fritz – 1:2
05.03.26 Jacob Fearnley – Damir Dzumhur – 2:0
23.02.26 Jacob Fearnley – Arthur Bouquier – 0:2

Facts

  • Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 128. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 110.
  • In recent matches, Mochizuki has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Fearnley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • Recently, the players have not faced each other.

    • Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Bye
    2 Navone M. Cina F. (WC) 2 : 0
    3 De Jong J. (LL) Shevchenko A. (Q) 2 : 0
    4 Bye Davidovich Fokina A. (25)
    5 Cerundolo F. (17) Bye
    6 Gaston H. Jarry N. 0 : 2
    7 Carballes Baena R. (RET.) Ofner S. (Q) 0 : 1
    8 Bye Tiafoe F. (15)
    9 Shelton B. (12) Bye
    10 Barrios Vera T. (Q) Munar J. 1 : 2
    11 Vukic A. Moreno De Alboran N. (Q) 2 : 0
    12 Bye Korda S. (22)
    13 Berrettini M. (29) Bye
    14 Fearnley J. Fognini F. (WC) 2 : 0
    15 Bublik A. Safiullin R. 2 : 0
    16 Bye Ruud C. (6)
    17 Fritz T. (4) Bye
    18 Diallo G. Giron M. 1 : 2
    19 Bellucci M. Martinez P. 0 : 2
    20 Bye Hurkacz H. (30)
    21 Mensik J. (20) Bye
    22 Rinderknech A. Gigante M. (WC) 0 : 2
    23 Marozsan F. Fonseca J. 2 : 0
    24 Bye Rublev A. (16)
    25 Paul T. (11) Bye
    26 Arnaldi M. Bautista-Agut R. 0 : 2
    27 Tien L. Opelka R. (PR) 2 : 0
    28 Bye Machac T. (19)
    29 Dellien H. (LL) Bye
    30 Borges N. Seyboth Wild T. (Q) 1 : 2
    31 Nardi L. (WC) Cobolli F. 2 : 0
    32 Bye De Minaur A. (7)
    33 Draper J. (5) Bye
    34 Bu Y. Darderi L. 0 : 2
    35 Kopriva V. (Q) Halys Q. 2 : 0
    36 Bye Baez S. (32)
    37 Humbert U. (21) Bye
    38 Hijikata R. Moutet C. 1 : 2
    39 Altmaier D. Comesana F. 0 : 2
    40 Bye Rune H. (9)
    41 Dimitrov G. (14) Bye
    42 Passaro F. (WC) Tseng C. H. (Q) 2 : 1
    43 Sonego L. Burruchaga R. A. (Q) 0 : 2
    44 Bye Khachanov K. (23)
    45 Michelsen A. (31) Bye
    46 Djere L. Etcheverry T. M. 2 : 0
    47 Nishioka Y. Lajovic D. (Q) 0 : 2
    48 Bye Alcaraz C. (3)
    49 Musetti L. (8) Bye
    50 Medjedovic H. Virtanen O. (Q) 0 : 2
    51 Thompson J. Mpetshi Perricard G. 2 : 1
    52 Bye Nakashima B. (28)
    53 Popyrin A. (24) Bye
    54 Taberner C. (Q) Kovacevic A. 2 : 1
    55 O’Connell C. Norrie C. (LL) 0 : 2
    56 Bye Medvedev D. (10)
    57 Fils A. (13) Bye
    58 Griekspoor T. Kecmanovic M. 2 : 1
    59 Lehecka J. Muller A. 1 : 2
    60 Bye Tsitsipas S. (18)
    61 Shapovalov D. (27) Bye
    62 Gaubas V. (Q) Dzumhur D. 2 : 1
    63 Ugo Carabelli C. Carreno-Busta P. (LL) 2 : 1
    64 Bye Zverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Navone M. 2 : 0
    2 De Jong J. Davidovich Fokina A. (25) 2 : 0
    3 Cerundolo F. (17) Jarry N. 2 : 0
    4 Ofner S. Tiafoe F. (15) 2 : 1
    5 Shelton B. (12) Munar J. 0 : 2
    6 Vukic A. Korda S. (22) 0 : 2
    7 Berrettini M. (29) Fearnley J. 2 : 0
    8 Bublik A. Ruud C. (6) 1 : 2
    9 Fritz T. (4) Giron M. 0 : 2
    10 Martinez P. Hurkacz H. (30) 0 : 2
    11 Mensik J. (20) Gigante M. 2 : 0
    12 Marozsan F. Rublev A. (16) 2 : 1
    13 Paul T. (11) Bautista-Agut R. 2 : 0
    14 Tien L. Machac T. (19) 0 : 2
    15 Dellien H. Seyboth Wild T. 2 : 1
    16 Nardi L. De Minaur A. (7) 0 : 2
    17 Draper J. (5) Darderi L. 2 : 0
    18 Kopriva V. Baez S. (32) 2 : 1
    19 Humbert U. (RET.) (21) Moutet C. 0 : 1
    20 Comesana F. Rune H. (9) 1 : 2
    21 Dimitrov G. (14) Passaro F. 0 : 2
    22 Burruchaga R. A. Khachanov K. (23) 1 : 2
    23 Michelsen A. (31) Djere L. 0 : 2
    24 Lajovic D. Alcaraz C. (3) 0 : 2
    25 Musetti L. (8) Virtanen O. 2 : 0
    26 Thompson J. Nakashima B. (WO.) (28)
    27 Popyrin A. (24) Taberner C. 2 : 0
    28 Norrie C. Medvedev D. (10) 0 : 2
    29 Fils A. (13) Griekspoor T. 2 : 0
    30 Muller A. Tsitsipas S. (18) 0 : 2
    31 Shapovalov D. (27) Gaubas V. 0 : 2
    32 Ugo Carabelli C. Zverev A. (2) 0 : 2

    1/16-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) De Jong J. 2 : 0
    2 Cerundolo F. (17) Ofner S. 2 : 0
    3 Munar J. Korda S. (22) 2 : 0
    4 Berrettini M. (RET.) (29) Ruud C. (6) 0 : 1
    5 Giron M. Hurkacz H. (30) 1 : 2
    6 Mensik J. (20) Marozsan F. 2 : 0
    7 Paul T. (11) Machac T. (19) 2 : 1
    8 Dellien H. De Minaur A. (7) 0 : 2
    9 Draper J. (5) Kopriva V. 2 : 0
    10 Moutet C. Rune H. (9) 2 : 1
    11 Passaro F. Khachanov K. (23) 0 : 2
    12 Djere L. Alcaraz C. (3) 0 : 2
    13 Musetti L. (8) Nakashima B. (28) 2 : 0
    14 Popyrin A. (24) Medvedev D. (10) 0 : 2
    15 Fils A. (13) Tsitsipas S. (18) 2 : 1
    16 Gaubas V. Zverev A. (2) 0 : 2

    1/8-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Cerundolo F. (17) 2 : 0
    2 Munar J. Ruud C. (6) 0 : 2
    3 Hurkacz H. (30) Mensik J. (20) 2 : 1
    4 Paul T. (11) De Minaur A. (7) 2 : 0
    5 Draper J. (5) Moutet C. 2 : 1
    6 Khachanov K. (23) Alcaraz C. (3) 1 : 2
    7 Musetti L. (8) Medvedev D. (10) 2 : 0
    8 Fils A. (13) Zverev A. (2) 0 : 2

    Quarter-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Ruud C. (6) 2 : 0
    2 Hurkacz H. (30) Paul T. (11) 0 : 2
    3 Draper J. (5) Alcaraz C. (3) 0 : 2
    4 Musetti L. (8) Zverev A. (2) 2 : 0

    Semi-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Paul T. (11) 2 : 1
    2 Alcaraz C. (3) Musetti L. (8) 2 : 0

    Final

    1 Sinner J. (1) Alcaraz C. (3) 0 : 2

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