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In an anticipated basketball showdown in the Australian NBL, the South East Melbourne Phoenix will face off against the New Zealand Breakers at home on January 21, 2026. Both teams have been in solid form recently, with the Phoenix winning 4 of their last 5 matches and the Breakers securing victories in 3 of their last 5.
The bookmakers have given the South East Melbourne Phoenix the edge in this matchup, with odds of 1.31 for a home win, compared to 3.6 for an away win by the New Zealand Breakers. Our model prediction also leans towards the Phoenix, estimating a 72.4% probability of a home victory.
The Phoenix have shown their strength in the past few games, while the Breakers have also proven to be a competitive force. It will be interesting to see which team can capitalize on their recent successes and come out on top in this highly anticipated matchup. With both teams in good form, this game has the potential to be a close and thrilling contest.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-18T09:52:03+00:00.
| South East Melbourne 73.3% |
NZ Breakers 26.7% |
Outrights of Australian NBL South East Melbourne: 11.3% New Zealand Breakers: 2.48%
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1.31 | 3.6 |
Latest Results
| 17.01.26 Adelaide 36ers – South East Melbourne Phoenix – 89:108 10.01.26 South East Melbourne Phoenix – Perth Wildcats – 97:107 08.01.26 South East Melbourne Phoenix – Illawarra Hawks – 124:113 OT 05.01.26 Sydney Kings – South East Melbourne Phoenix – 117:124 31.12.25 Cairns Taipans – South East Melbourne Phoenix – 96:111 |
17.01.26 Cairns Taipans – New Zealand Breakers – 86:104 10.01.26 Illawarra Hawks – New Zealand Breakers – 96:101 09.01.26 New Zealand Breakers – Sydney Kings – 62:103 03.01.26 New Zealand Breakers – Perth Wildcats – 91:99 26.12.25 Tasmania JackJumpers – New Zealand Breakers – 80:81 OT |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 13.12.25 South East Melbourne Phoenix – New Zealand Breakers – 92:80 11.10.25 New Zealand Breakers – South East Melbourne Phoenix – 81:87 29.08.25 South East Melbourne Phoenix – New Zealand Breakers – 101:109 18.01.25 South East Melbourne Phoenix – New Zealand Breakers – 102:89 24.10.24 New Zealand Breakers – South East Melbourne Phoenix – 62:88 |
Standings
2025/26
| Pl | W | L | PCT | |||
| 1 | Adelaide | 25 | 19 | 6 | 2293:2152 | 0.760 |
| 2 | South East Melbourne | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2480:2280 | 0.680 |
| 3 | Sydney | 25 | 16 | 9 | 2384:2145 | 0.640 |
| 4 | Melbourne United | 26 | 16 | 10 | 2423:2306 | 0.615 |
| 5 | Perth | 25 | 15 | 10 | 2248:2170 | 0.600 |
| 6 | Tasmania JackJumpers | 26 | 12 | 14 | 2216:2200 | 0.462 |
| 7 | New Zealand Breakers | 25 | 10 | 15 | 2217:2252 | 0.400 |
| 8 | Illawarra Hawks | 24 | 8 | 16 | 2165:2325 | 0.333 |
| 9 | Cairns Taipans | 25 | 7 | 18 | 2072:2397 | 0.280 |
| 10 | Brisbane Bullets | 26 | 6 | 20 | 2201:2472 | 0.231 |
Australian NBL Outrights
1. Adelaide 36ers: 2.4 (33.17%)
2. Melbourne United: 2.63 (30.22%)
3. South East Melbourne: 7.03 (11.3%)
4. Sydney Kings: 9.33 (8.52%)
5. Perth Wildcats: 11.16 (7.12%)
6. Illawarra Hawks: 18.5 (4.3%)
7. New Zealand Breakers: 32 (2.48%)
8. Tasmania JackJumpers: 65 (1.22%)
9. Brisbane Bullets: 90 (0.88%)
10. Cairns Taipans: 100 (0.79%)
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