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On July 12, 2026, the South Sydney Rabbitohs will host the Newcastle Knights in a highly anticipated NRL clash at their home ground. Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent performances. The Rabbitohs have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 5 outings, showcasing inconsistencies in both attack and defense. In contrast, the Knights have hit their stride, with 4 victories in their last 5 matches, highlighting their tactical prowess and form.
Bookmakers favor the Knights slightly with odds of 1.88 for an away win compared to 2.05 for the Rabbitohs at home. This reflects the current momentum that Newcastle has built. In terms of tactical strengths, the Knights have demonstrated a robust offensive strategy recently, finding ways to exploit defensive lapses, while the Rabbitohs will need to tighten their defense to reclaim form and capitalize on home advantage.
Our model assigns a 45.6% probability of a home win for the Rabbitohs, while the Knights hold a slightly higher likelihood of 49.1% for an away victory, alongside a 5.2% chance of a draw. With both sides motivated for victory, this match promises to be a competitive encounter with no guaranteed outcomes.
This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-07-05T16:52:02+00:00.
| South Sydney 45.8% |
Draw 4.7% |
Newcastle 49.4% |
Prediction (the most likely score): 26:26
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Betting Odds
| 1 | X | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 15 | 1.95 | ||
| 1.99 | 25 | 1.84 | ||
| 2.05 | 17.87 | 1.88 | ||
| 2.02 | 19 | 1.88 |
Latest Results
| 03.07.26 Penrith Panthers – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 36:14 25.06.26 Parramatta Eels – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 12:32 11.06.26 South Sydney Rabbitohs – Brisbane Broncos – 48:6 04.06.26 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 28:14 24.05.26 North Queensland Cowboys – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 30:18 |
05.07.26 Newcastle Knights – Dolphins NRL – 13:12 28.06.26 Newcastle Knights – Wests Tigers – 12:6 19.06.26 Newcastle Knights – St. George Illawarra Dragons – 22:20 05.06.26 Melbourne Storm – Newcastle Knights – 32:30 30.05.26 Newcastle Knights – Parramatta Eels – 28:22 |
Facts
Latest Head To Head
| 03.05.26 Newcastle Knights – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 42:38 03.05.25 South Sydney Rabbitohs – Newcastle Knights – 4:30 24.08.24 South Sydney Rabbitohs – Newcastle Knights – 16:36 20.08.23 Newcastle Knights – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 29:10 08.07.22 Newcastle Knights – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 28:40 |
Standings
Main
| Pl | W | L | Pts | |||
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 16 | 13 | 3 | 503:223 | 30 |
| 2 | Newcastle Knights | 16 | 11 | 5 | 417:376 | 26 |
| 3 | New Zealand Warriors | 15 | 10 | 5 | 438:270 | 24 |
| 4 | Dolphins | 16 | 10 | 6 | 452:322 | 24 |
| 5 | Sydney Roosters | 15 | 10 | 5 | 384:324 | 24 |
| 6 | Manly Sea Eagles | 16 | 9 | 7 | 423:290 | 22 |
| 7 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 15 | 8 | 7 | 432:348 | 22 |
| 8 | Cronulla Sharks | 15 | 9 | 6 | 402:345 | 22 |
| 9 | NQ Cowboys | 16 | 9 | 7 | 389:406 | 20 |
| 10 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 15 | 7 | 8 | 276:354 | 18 |
| 11 | Wests Tigers | 16 | 7 | 9 | 349:453 | 18 |
| 12 | Melbourne Storm | 16 | 7 | 9 | 392:398 | 16 |
| 13 | Parramatta Eels | 16 | 6 | 10 | 319:479 | 16 |
| 14 | Canberra Raiders | 16 | 6 | 10 | 305:420 | 14 |
| 15 | Brisbane Broncos | 16 | 5 | 11 | 315:441 | 14 |
| 16 | Gold Coast Titans | 15 | 4 | 11 | 279:387 | 12 |
| 17 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 16 | 2 | 14 | 244:483 | 8 |
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