South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights predictions, Jul 12, 2026

Australian NRL, on Sunday,

South Sydney Rabbitohs

Newcastle Knights

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On July 12, 2026, the South Sydney Rabbitohs will host the Newcastle Knights in a highly anticipated NRL clash at their home ground. Both teams come into this match with contrasting recent performances. The Rabbitohs have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 5 outings, showcasing inconsistencies in both attack and defense. In contrast, the Knights have hit their stride, with 4 victories in their last 5 matches, highlighting their tactical prowess and form.

Bookmakers favor the Knights slightly with odds of 1.88 for an away win compared to 2.05 for the Rabbitohs at home. This reflects the current momentum that Newcastle has built. In terms of tactical strengths, the Knights have demonstrated a robust offensive strategy recently, finding ways to exploit defensive lapses, while the Rabbitohs will need to tighten their defense to reclaim form and capitalize on home advantage.

Our model assigns a 45.6% probability of a home win for the Rabbitohs, while the Knights hold a slightly higher likelihood of 49.1% for an away victory, alongside a 5.2% chance of a draw. With both sides motivated for victory, this match promises to be a competitive encounter with no guaranteed outcomes.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-07-05T16:52:02+00:00.

South Sydney
45.8%
Draw
4.7%
Newcastle
49.4%

Prediction (the most likely score): 26:26

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 2.05 15 1.95
MarathonBet 1.99 25 1.84
Pinnacle 2.05 17.87 1.88
Best for US Customers 2.02 19 1.88

Latest Results

03.07.26 Penrith Panthers – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 36:14
25.06.26 Parramatta Eels – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 12:32
11.06.26 South Sydney Rabbitohs – Brisbane Broncos – 48:6
04.06.26 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 28:14
24.05.26 North Queensland Cowboys – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 30:18
05.07.26 Newcastle Knights – Dolphins NRL – 13:12
28.06.26 Newcastle Knights – Wests Tigers – 12:6
19.06.26 Newcastle Knights – St. George Illawarra Dragons – 22:20
05.06.26 Melbourne Storm – Newcastle Knights – 32:30
30.05.26 Newcastle Knights – Parramatta Eels – 28:22

Facts

  • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 1.
  • South Sydney has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Newcastle is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • South Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, South Sydney has had a series of away games.
  • Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 529:343. (average 29.4:19.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, South Sydney won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 329:190. (average 29.9:17.3).

    Latest Head To Head

    03.05.26 Newcastle Knights – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 42:38
    03.05.25 South Sydney Rabbitohs – Newcastle Knights – 4:30
    24.08.24 South Sydney Rabbitohs – Newcastle Knights – 16:36
    20.08.23 Newcastle Knights – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 29:10
    08.07.22 Newcastle Knights – South Sydney Rabbitohs – 28:40

    Standings

    Main

    Pl W L Pts
    1 Penrith Panthers 16 13 3 503:223 30
    2 Newcastle Knights 16 11 5 417:376 26
    3 New Zealand Warriors 15 10 5 438:270 24
    4 Dolphins 16 10 6 452:322 24
    5 Sydney Roosters 15 10 5 384:324 24
    6 Manly Sea Eagles 16 9 7 423:290 22
    7 South Sydney Rabbitohs 15 8 7 432:348 22
    8 Cronulla Sharks 15 9 6 402:345 22
    9 NQ Cowboys 16 9 7 389:406 20
    10 Canterbury Bulldogs 15 7 8 276:354 18
    11 Wests Tigers 16 7 9 349:453 18
    12 Melbourne Storm 16 7 9 392:398 16
    13 Parramatta Eels 16 6 10 319:479 16
    14 Canberra Raiders 16 6 10 305:420 14
    15 Brisbane Broncos 16 5 11 315:441 14
    16 Gold Coast Titans 15 4 11 279:387 12
    17 St. George Illawarra Dragons 16 2 14 244:483 8

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