St. George Illawarra Dragons vs New Zealand Warriors predictions, May 23, 2026

May 17, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

Australian NRL, on Saturday,

Dragons

New Zealand

Score, Highlights

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As the St. George Illawarra Dragons prepare to host the New Zealand Warriors on May 23, 2026, fans can expect an intriguing matchup in the NRL. The Dragons come into this clash struggling, having lost all of their last five games. This recent form suggests significant defensive vulnerabilities and a struggle to find their attacking rhythm, which could be a critical factor in their performance at home.

Conversely, the Warriors have displayed a commendable resurgence, winning four out of their last five fixtures. Their recent success can be attributed to a robust offensive strategy, as well as resilience in defense, which has allowed them to capitalize on opponents’ mistakes effectively. The Warriors’ consistency and form make them strong contenders in this matchup.

Bookmakers favor the Warriors, with odds of 1.29 reflecting their current momentum, while the Dragons sit at 3.76, highlighting their underdog status. Based on these trends and analysis, the predicted final score suggests a potential 20:31 outcome in favor of the Warriors. While recent performance trends lean towards an away victory, unpredictable elements in rugby league mean that the match could unfold in myriad ways.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-05-17T08:52:03+00:00.

St. George Illawarra
25%		 Draw
3.5%		 New Zealand
71.5%

Prediction (the most likely score): 20:31

Outrights of Australian NRL New Zealand Warriors: 9.06% St. George Illawarra Dragons: 0.09%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 3.8 22 1.32
MarathonBet 3.69 32 1.29
WilliamHill 3.8 26 1.25

Latest Results

17.05.26 Penrith Panthers – St. George Illawarra Dragons – 28:6
09.05.26 St. George Illawarra Dragons – Newcastle Knights – 10:44
25.04.26 St. George Illawarra Dragons – Sydney Roosters – 16:62
18.04.26 South Sydney Rabbitohs – St. George Illawarra Dragons – 30:12
10.04.26 St. George Illawarra Dragons – Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles – 18:28		 17.05.26 New Zealand Warriors – Brisbane Broncos – 42:12
02.05.26 Parramatta Eels – New Zealand Warriors – 14:36
25.04.26 New Zealand Warriors – Dolphins NRL – 20:18
18.04.26 New Zealand Warriors – Gold Coast Titans – 28:20
11.04.26 Melbourne Storm – New Zealand Warriors – 14:38

Facts

  • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 1.
  • St. George Illawarra is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • New Zealand is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • New Zealand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, New Zealand is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 372:345. (average 18.6:17.3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 158:153. (average 19.8:19.1).

    Latest Head To Head

    15.08.25 New Zealand Warriors – St. George Illawarra Dragons – 14:10
    10.05.25 St. George Illawarra Dragons – New Zealand Warriors – 14:15
    19.04.24 St. George Illawarra Dragons – New Zealand Warriors – 30:12
    25.08.23 New Zealand Warriors – St. George Illawarra Dragons – 18:6
    23.06.23 St. George Illawarra Dragons – New Zealand Warriors – 18:48

    Standings

    Main

    Pl W L Pts
    1 Penrith Panthers 11 10 1 349:146 20
    2 New Zealand Warriors 10 8 2 320:182 18
    3 Sydney Roosters 10 7 3 293:232 16
    4 Manly Sea Eagles 10 6 4 305:198 14
    5 South Sydney Rabbitohs 10 6 4 306:236 14
    6 Newcastle Knights 11 7 4 312:284 14
    7 NQ Cowboys 11 7 4 287:272 14
    8 Dolphins 10 5 5 260:217 12
    9 Cronulla Sharks 10 5 5 294:260 12
    10 Wests Tigers 10 5 5 253:269 12
    11 Brisbane Broncos 11 5 6 226:283 10
    12 Melbourne Storm 11 4 7 276:284 8
    13 Canberra Raiders 10 4 6 201:279 8
    14 Canterbury Bulldogs 10 3 7 173:276 8
    15 Parramatta Eels 11 4 7 235:379 8
    16 Gold Coast Titans 10 2 8 182:268 6
    17 St. George Illawarra Dragons 10 0 10 130:337 2

    Australian NRL Outrights

    1. Penrith Panthers: 2.5 (34.42%)

    2. Sydney Roosters: 7 (12.29%)

    3. New Zealand Warriors: 9.5 (9.06%)

    4. Brisbane Broncos: 11 (7.82%)

    5. South Sydney Rabbitohs: 12 (7.17%)

    6. Manly Sea Eagles: 17 (5.06%)

    7. Dolphins: 21 (4.1%)

    8. Cronulla Sharks: 23 (3.74%)

    9. Melbourne Storm: 26 (3.31%)

    10. Newcastle Knights: 29 (2.97%)

    11. Canterbury Bulldogs: 34 (2.53%)

    12. Wests Tigers: 34 (2.53%)

    13. North Queensland Cowboys: 41 (2.1%)

    14. Canberra Raiders: 41 (2.1%)

    15. Parramatta Eels: 201 (0.43%)

    16. Gold Coast Titans: 301 (0.29%)

    17. St. George Illawarra Dragons: 1001 (0.09%)

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