Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights predictions, Jan 23, 2026

Jan 21, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

NHL, on Friday,

Toronto

Vegas

Score, Highlights

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In an exciting NHL match-up on January 23, 2026, the Toronto Maple Leafs will face off against the Vegas Golden Knights at home. Both teams have shown their competitive edge in recent matches, with Toronto winning 2 out of their last 5 games, and Vegas victorious in 4 out of their last 5.

The odds appear to slightly favor the Golden Knights with a 2.34 chance of an away win, compared to the Maple Leafs’ 2.59 odds for a home victory. Our model predicts a close match, with a 36.8% probability of Toronto coming out on top, a 23.4% chance of a draw, and a 40.1% likelihood of Vegas clinching the win. Based on the odds, the predicted final score is 2:3 in favor of the Golden Knights.

Expect both teams to bring their A-game to the ice, with Toronto possibly focusing on their offensive strategies, while Vegas may rely on their recent strong defensive performances. This match promises to be a thrilling clash between two formidable teams, and the final outcome is anyone’s guess.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-21T07:52:03+00:00.

Toronto
36.6%		 Draw
23.1%		 Vegas
40.3%

Prediction (the most likely score): 2:3

Outrights of NHL Vegas Golden Knights: 9.31% Toronto Maple Leafs: 1.93%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
MarathonBet 2.64 4.21 2.41
Pinnacle 2.59 4.08 2.34

Latest Results

19.01.26 Toronto Maple Leafs – Minnesota Wild – 3:6
17.01.26 Winnipeg Jets – Toronto Maple Leafs – 3:4 OT
15.01.26 Vegas Golden Knights – Toronto Maple Leafs – 6:5 OT
13.01.26 Utah Mammoth – Toronto Maple Leafs – 6:1
12.01.26 Colorado Avalanche – Toronto Maple Leafs – 3:4 OT		 19.01.26 Vegas Golden Knights – Philadelphia Flyers – 1:2
17.01.26 Vegas Golden Knights – Nashville Predators – 7:2
15.01.26 Vegas Golden Knights – Toronto Maple Leafs – 6:5 OT
14.01.26 Los Angeles Kings – Vegas Golden Knights – 2:3 OT
11.01.26 San Jose Sharks – Vegas Golden Knights – 2:7

Facts

  • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
  • Toronto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
  • Vegas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
  • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
  • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 51:48. (average 3.4:3.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 3:2.1).

    Latest Head To Head

    15.01.26 Vegas Golden Knights – Toronto Maple Leafs – 6:5 OT
    05.03.25 Vegas Golden Knights – Toronto Maple Leafs – 5:2
    20.11.24 Toronto Maple Leafs – Vegas Golden Knights – 3:0
    27.02.24 Toronto Maple Leafs – Vegas Golden Knights – 2:6
    22.02.24 Vegas Golden Knights – Toronto Maple Leafs – 3:7

    Standings

    Main

    Western Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Colorado Avalanche 47 31 3 8 5 190:112 76
    2 Dallas Stars 50 24 4 9 13 169:141 65
    3 Minnesota Wild 51 19 9 9 14 164:147 65
    4 Vegas Golden Knights 48 17 7 12 12 161:147 60
    5 Edmonton Oilers 51 20 5 8 18 171:160 58
    6 Utah Mammoth 49 19 6 4 20 153:135 54
    7 San Jose Sharks 49 14 11 3 21 153:173 53
    8 Anaheim Ducks 49 15 10 3 21 163:175 53
    9 Los Angeles Kings 49 13 7 13 16 129:139 53
    10 Seattle Kraken 48 15 6 9 18 133:147 51
    11 Nashville Predators 49 16 7 4 22 141:166 50
    12 Calgary Flames 49 17 4 5 23 127:145 47
    13 Chicago Blackhawks 49 16 4 7 22 135:154 47
    14 Winnipeg Jets 49 18 2 6 23 147:151 46
    15 St. Louis Blues 50 18 1 8 23 121:171 46
    16 Vancouver Canucks 49 10 6 5 28 129:180 37

    Eastern Conference

    Pl W WO LO L Pts
    1 Tampa Bay Lightning 48 25 6 4 13 170:121 66
    2 Carolina Hurricanes 50 22 9 4 15 173:145 66
    3 Detroit Red Wings 50 21 9 4 16 157:153 64
    4 Montreal Canadiens 50 18 10 7 15 172:167 63
    5 Buffalo Sabres 49 21 6 5 17 163:153 59
    6 New York Islanders 49 18 9 5 17 145:137 59
    7 Boston Bruins 50 21 7 2 20 166:156 58
    8 Pittsburgh Penguins 48 19 4 11 14 156:147 57
    9 Toronto Maple Leafs 49 17 7 8 17 165:164 56
    10 Philadelphia Flyers 48 16 7 8 17 143:150 54
    11 Washington Capitals 50 21 3 6 20 159:148 54
    12 New Jersey Devils 50 17 9 2 22 131:151 54
    13 Florida Panthers 48 22 3 3 20 146:160 53
    14 Ottawa Senators 49 18 5 7 19 163:164 53
    15 Columbus Blue Jackets 49 13 9 7 20 149:164 51
    16 New York Rangers 51 14 7 6 24 138:159 48

    NHL Outrights

    1. Colorado Avalanche: 3.4 (24.65%)

    2. Tampa Bay Lightning: 7.25 (11.56%)

    3. Carolina Hurricanes: 8.75 (9.58%)

    4. Vegas Golden Knights: 9 (9.31%)

    5. Edmonton Oilers: 10.75 (7.8%)

    6. Florida Panthers: 12.5 (6.71%)

    7. Dallas Stars: 17 (4.93%)

    8. Minnesota Wild: 22 (3.81%)

    9. Washington Capitals: 30 (2.79%)

    10. Toronto Maple Leafs: 43.5 (1.93%)

    11. Los Angeles Kings: 43.5 (1.93%)

    12. Montreal Canadiens: 51 (1.64%)

    13. Detroit Red Wings: 56 (1.5%)

    14. Buffalo Sabres: 61 (1.37%)

    15. New Jersey Devils: 71 (1.18%)

    16. Ottawa Senators: 71 (1.18%)

    17. Utah Mammoth: 71 (1.18%)

    18. New York Islanders: 71.5 (1.17%)

    19. Anaheim Ducks: 101 (0.83%)

    20. Pittsburgh Penguins: 101 (0.83%)

    21. Winnipeg Jets: 126 (0.67%)

    22. Philadelphia Flyers: 126 (0.67%)

    23. Nashville Predators: 151 (0.56%)

    24. Boston Bruins: 201 (0.42%)

    25. Columbus Blue Jackets: 251 (0.33%)

    26. New York Rangers: 301 (0.28%)

    27. San Jose Sharks: 326 (0.26%)

    28. Seattle Kraken: 351 (0.24%)

    29. Calgary Flames: 351 (0.24%)

    30. St. Louis Blues: 501 (0.17%)

    31. Chicago Blackhawks: 501 (0.17%)

    32. Vancouver Canucks: 626 (0.13%)

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