UC San Diego Tritons vs Cal Poly Mustangs predictions, Mar 11, 2026

Mar 10, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

NCAA College Basketball, on Wednesday,

UC San Diego

Cal Poly

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As the UC San Diego Tritons prepare to host the Cal Poly Mustangs on March 11, 2026, the stage is set for an intriguing NCAA basketball matchup. The Tritons come into this contest riding a wave of confidence, having won four of their last five games. Their recent form suggests a well-rounded performance, characterized by solid offensive execution and robust defensive strategies, making them a formidable force at home.

Conversely, the Cal Poly Mustangs have displayed resilience, securing three victories in their last five outings. However, their away performances have been less consistent, which could be a critical factor as they travel to face a strong Tritons team. The Mustangs will need to focus on their defensive cohesion and identify opportunities to capitalize on fast-break situations to disrupt UC San Diego’s rhythm.

According to bookmakers, the odds reflect the Tritons as the favorites at 1.37, while the Mustangs sit at 2.74. Our predictive model suggests a 64.2% chance of a home victory, emphasizing the Tritons’ advantage. The anticipated final score is projected at 82:76. Yet, as both teams vie for supremacy, this matchup promises to be competitive, with no outcome guaranteed.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-10T15:52:03+00:00.

UC San Diego
67.6%		 Cal Poly
32.4%

Prediction (the most likely score): 82:76

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 1.37 2.9
MarathonBet 1.39 2.81
WilliamHill 1.36 3
Pinnacle 1.37 2.74

Latest Results

07.03.26 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos basketball – UC San Diego Tritons basketball – 63:64
05.03.26 Cal State Fullerton Titans basketball – UC San Diego Tritons basketball – 75:71
28.02.26 UC San Diego Tritons basketball – Cal Poly Mustangs basketball – 80:64
26.02.26 UC San Diego Tritons basketball – Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners basketball – 84:72
21.02.26 UC Irvine Anteaters basketball – UC San Diego Tritons basketball – 69:71		 07.03.26 Cal Poly Mustangs basketball – Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners basketball – 108:76
05.03.26 UC Irvine Anteaters basketball – Cal Poly Mustangs basketball – 107:85
28.02.26 UC San Diego Tritons basketball – Cal Poly Mustangs basketball – 80:64
26.02.26 Cal Poly Mustangs basketball – Long Beach State 49ers basketball – 102:92
19.02.26 Hawaii Warriors basketball – Cal Poly Mustangs basketball – 75:86

Facts

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UC San Diego won 4.
  • UC San Diego is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Cal Poly‘s form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • In this match, UC San Diego is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, UC San Diego won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 701:617. (average 70.1:61.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, UC San Diego won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 322:278. (average 64.4:55.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    28.02.26 UC San Diego Tritons basketball – Cal Poly Mustangs basketball – 80:64
    01.01.26 Cal Poly Mustangs basketball – UC San Diego Tritons basketball – 67:65
    20.02.25 Cal Poly Mustangs basketball – UC San Diego Tritons basketball – 67:81
    09.01.25 UC San Diego Tritons basketball – Cal Poly Mustangs basketball – 95:68
    09.03.24 UC San Diego Tritons basketball – Cal Poly Mustangs basketball – 92:87

    Standings

    NCAA College Basketball Outrights

    1. Duke Blue Devils: 4.24 (18.39%)

    2. Michigan Wolverines: 4.36 (17.87%)

    3. Arizona Wildcats: 5.75 (13.56%)

    4. Florida Gators: 7.94 (9.82%)

    5. Houston Cougars: 11.75 (6.63%)

    6. Connecticut Huskies: 17.75 (4.39%)

    7. Illinois Fighting Illini: 19 (4.1%)

    8. Iowa State: 23 (3.39%)

    9. Purdue Boilermakers: 38.25 (2.04%)

    10. Kansas Jayhawks: 39.75 (1.96%)

    11. Michigan State: 41 (1.9%)

    12. Gonzaga Bulldogs: 44.75 (1.74%)

    13. Virginia Cavaliers: 67 (1.16%)

    14. Arkansas Razorbacks: 67 (1.16%)

    15. Nebraska Cornhuskers: 81 (0.96%)

    16. Alabama Crimson Tide: 81 (0.96%)

    17. Louisville: 91 (0.86%)

    18. Tennessee Volunteers: 101 (0.77%)

    19. Vanderbilt Commodores: 101 (0.77%)

    20. St. Johns Red Storm: 101 (0.77%)

    21. Wisconsin Badgers: 126 (0.62%)

    22. Kentucky Wildcats: 126 (0.62%)

    23. Texas Tech: 151 (0.52%)

    24. Iowa Hawkeyes: 151 (0.52%)

    25. North Carolina: 151 (0.52%)

    26. Brigham Young: 201 (0.39%)

    27. Miami (FL): 251 (0.31%)

    28. UCLA: 251 (0.31%)

    29. Texas A&M: 251 (0.31%)

    30. NC State: 251 (0.31%)

    31. Georgia Bulldogs: 351 (0.22%)

    32. St. Louis Billikens: 351 (0.22%)

    33. Villanova Wildcats: 501 (0.16%)

    34. Indiana Hoosiers: 501 (0.16%)

    35. UCF Knights: 501 (0.16%)

    36. Ohio State Buckeyes: 501 (0.16%)

    37. New Mexico: 501 (0.16%)

    38. San Diego State: 501 (0.16%)

    39. Missouri Tigers: 501 (0.16%)

    40. Oklahoma State: 501 (0.16%)

    41. Texas Longhorns: 751 (0.1%)

    42. Santa Clara: 751 (0.1%)

    43. Virginia Tech: 1001 (0.08%)

    44. TCU: 1001 (0.08%)

    45. Baylor Bears: 1001 (0.08%)

    46. Seton Hall Pirates: 1001 (0.08%)

    47. West Virginia: 1001 (0.08%)

    48. Miami (Ohio): 1001 (0.08%)

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