Union Berlin vs Mainz predictions, Jan 10, 2026

Jan 03, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

German Bundesliga, on Saturday,

Union Berlin

Mainz

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

On January 10, 2026, Union Berlin will host Mainz 05 in what promises to be an intriguing encounter in the German Bundesliga. Union Berlin comes into this match with a slight edge in form, having secured 2 victories in their last 5 matches. Their recent performances indicate a solid home advantage, contributing to their bookmakers’ odds of 2.13 for a home win. Tactically, Union Berlin thrives on a robust defensive setup, often looking to capitalize on counter-attacks and set pieces.

Conversely, Mainz 05 has struggled of late, managing only 1 win in their last 5 outings. This dip in form has made it challenging for them to assert control in matches, and they’ll need to find an attacking rhythm to pose a significant threat. The bookmakers’ odds reflect this disparity, offering 3.59 for an away win.

Analyzing the model predictions, Union Berlin has a 46% probability of winning, while a draw is set at 29.9%, and Mainz’s chances sit at 25.7%. With both teams exhibiting contrasting recent forms, this matchup will be crucial for both sides as they seek to establish momentum in the league. A balanced contest is expected, with no guaranteed outcomes.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-01-03T09:52:02+00:00.

Union Berlin
44%		 Draw
29.2%		 Mainz
26.8%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:0

Outrights of German Bundesliga Union Berlin: 0.16% Mainz: 0.1%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 2.25 3.25 3.35
betsson 2.12 3.2 3.7
WilliamHill 2.1 3.1 3.4
Pinnacle 2.13 3.28 3.59

Latest Results

20.12.25 1. FC Köln – Union Berlin – 0:1
12.12.25 Union Berlin – RB Leipzig – 3:1
06.12.25 VfL Wolfsburg – Union Berlin – 3:1
03.12.25 Union Berlin – Bayern Munich – 2:3
29.11.25 Union Berlin – 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 – 1:2		 21.12.25 Mainz 05 – FC St. Pauli – 0:0
18.12.25 Mainz 05 – Samsunspor – 2:0
14.12.25 Bayern Munich – Mainz 05 – 2:2
11.12.25 Lech Poznań – Mainz 05 – 1:1
05.12.25 Mainz 05 – Borussia Mönchengladbach – 0:1

Facts

  • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 3.
  • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  • Union Berlin might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 1.9:0.9).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2.7:0.8).

    Latest Head To Head

    19.01.25 Union Berlin – Mainz 05 – 2:1
    24.08.24 Mainz 05 – Union Berlin – 1:1
    07.02.24 Mainz 05 – Union Berlin – 1:1
    20.08.23 Union Berlin – Mainz 05 – 4:1
    04.02.23 Union Berlin – Mainz 05 – 2:1

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Bayern Munich 15 13 2 0 55:11 44 41
    2 Dortmund 15 9 5 1 26:12 14 32
    3 Bayer Leverkusen 15 9 2 4 33:20 13 29
    4 RB Leipzig 15 9 2 4 30:19 11 29
    5 Hoffenheim 15 8 3 4 29:20 9 27
    6 Stuttgart 15 8 2 5 25:22 3 26
    7 Eintracht Frankfurt 15 7 4 4 30:30 0 25
    8 Union Berlin 15 6 3 6 20:23 -3 21
    9 Freiburg 15 5 5 5 25:26 -1 20
    10 Werder Bremen 15 4 5 6 18:28 -10 17
    11 FC Koln 15 4 4 7 22:24 -2 16
    12 B. Monchengladbach 15 4 4 7 18:24 -6 16
    13 Hamburger SV 15 4 4 7 16:25 -9 16
    14 Wolfsburg 15 4 3 8 23:28 -5 15
    15 Augsburg 15 4 2 9 17:28 -11 14
    16 St. Pauli 15 3 3 9 13:26 -13 12
    17 Heidenheim 15 3 2 10 13:34 -21 11
    18 Mainz 15 1 5 9 13:26 -13 8

    German Bundesliga Outrights

    1. Bayern Munich: 1.01 (92.73%)

    2. Dortmund: 37.83 (2.48%)

    3. RB Leipzig: 80.33 (1.17%)

    4. Bayer Leverkusen: 89 (1.05%)

    5. VfB Stuttgart: 275.33 (0.34%)

    6. Eintracht Frankfurt: 275.33 (0.34%)

    7. Freiburg: 280.2 (0.33%)

    8. Hoffenheim: 358.67 (0.26%)

    9. 1. FC Koln: 480.2 (0.2%)

    10. Werder Bremen: 580.2 (0.16%)

    11. Union Berlin: 580.2 (0.16%)

    12. B. Monchengladbach: 580.2 (0.16%)

    13. Hamburger: 680.2 (0.14%)

    14. Wolfsburg: 880.2 (0.11%)

    15. Augsburg: 980.2 (0.1%)

    16. Mainz: 980.2 (0.1%)

    17. Heidenheim: 980.2 (0.1%)

    18. St. Pauli: 980.2 (0.1%)

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