Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras predictions, Mar 12, 2026

Brazilian Serie A, on Thursday,

Vasco

Palmeiras

Score, Highlights

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As Vasco da Gama prepares to host Palmeiras on March 12, 2026, the matchup promises to be a compelling contest in the Brazilian Serie A. Vasco, struggling to find form recently, has managed to secure just one victory in their last five outings, indicating potential vulnerabilities in both their defense and attack. In contrast, Palmeiras has been in excellent shape, recording four wins in their last five matches, reflecting a robust tactical cohesiveness and attacking prowess that has seen them scoring consistently.

The odds from bookmakers suggest an uphill battle for Vasco, who are priced at 3.01 for a home win, while Palmeiras stands at 2.27 as the away favorites. Our model forecasts a 29.6% chance of a home win, a 26.6% chance of a draw, and a substantial 43.1% likelihood of an away win, indicating the visitors’ strong current form.

Tactically, Palmeiras is likely to exploit any defensive lapses from Vasco, focusing on their fluid transition play and attacking width. Conversely, Vasco will need to solidify their defense and look for counter-attacking opportunities to challenge Palmeiras’ backline. While Palmeiras enters as the favorite, the unpredictability of football implies that surprises can occur. Fans can expect an engaging match with both teams having clear motivations to secure valuable points.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-03-05T19:52:02+00:00.

Vasco
30.7%
Draw
27.8%
Palmeiras
41.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 1:1

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A Palmeiras: 28.54% Vasco: 0.69%

Watch Watch and Bet Vasco – Palmeiras available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
bet_at_home 3.15 3.55 2.3
betsson 2.98 3.35 2.28
MarathonBet 3.15 3.44 2.31 Watch Watch and Bet
WilliamHill 2.9 3.25 2.25
Pinnacle 3.11 3.43 2.28

Latest Results

01.03.26 Fluminense RJ – Vasco da Gama – 1:1
26.02.26 Santos FC – Vasco da Gama – 2:1
22.02.26 Vasco da Gama – Fluminense RJ – 0:1
14.02.26 Vasco da Gama – Volta Redonda – 2:1 penalties
11.02.26 Vasco da Gama – EC Bahia – 0:1
04.03.26 Palmeiras – Grêmio Novorizontino – 1:0
01.03.26 Palmeiras – São Paulo FC – 2:1
25.02.26 Palmeiras – Fluminense RJ – 2:1
21.02.26 Palmeiras – Capivariano FC – 4:0
15.02.26 Palmeiras – Guarani Futebol Clube – 1:1

Facts

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 0.
  • Vasco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Palmeiras is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Recently, Palmeiras has had a series of home games.
  • Palmeiras could have a small edge in this match.
  • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:28. (average 0.7:1.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    01.10.25 Palmeiras – Vasco da Gama – 3:0
    04.05.25 Vasco da Gama – Palmeiras – 0:1
    22.09.24 Vasco da Gama – Palmeiras – 0:1
    13.06.24 Palmeiras – Vasco da Gama – 2:0
    27.08.23 Palmeiras – Vasco da Gama – 1:0

    Standings

    2026

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Palmeiras 4 3 1 0 12:5 7 10
    2 Sao Paulo 4 3 1 0 6:2 4 10
    3 Corinthians 4 2 1 1 5:3 2 7
    4 Bahia 3 2 1 0 4:2 2 7
    5 Fluminense 4 2 1 1 5:4 1 7
    6 Athletico-PR 4 2 1 1 4:3 1 7
    7 Bragantino 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
    8 Gremio 4 2 0 2 8:8 0 6
    9 Chapecoense-SC 3 1 2 0 8:6 2 5
    10 Mirassol 3 1 2 0 6:5 1 5
    11 Flamengo RJ 3 1 1 1 4:4 0 4
    12 Coritiba 4 1 1 2 5:6 -1 4
    13 Santos 4 1 1 2 6:8 -2 4
    14 Botafogo RJ 3 1 0 2 7:6 1 3
    15 Vitoria 3 1 0 2 4:7 -3 3
    16 Remo 4 0 3 1 6:8 -2 3
    17 Atletico-MG 4 0 2 2 6:8 -2 2
    18 Internacional 4 0 2 2 3:6 -3 2
    19 Cruzeiro 4 0 2 2 4:9 -5 2
    20 Vasco 4 0 1 3 3:6 -3 1

    Brazilian Serie A Outrights

    1. Palmeiras: 2.84 (28.54%)

    2. Flamengo RJ: 3.08 (26.26%)

    3. Fluminense: 9 (9%)

    4. Bahia: 9.83 (8.23%)

    5. Cruzeiro: 17.33 (4.67%)

    6. Sao Paulo: 18.33 (4.42%)

    7. Botafogo RJ: 19.67 (4.12%)

    8. Corinthians: 24 (3.37%)

    9. Gremio: 36.33 (2.23%)

    10. Mirassol: 65.67 (1.23%)

    11. Bragantino: 67 (1.21%)

    12. Atletico-MG: 70.33 (1.15%)

    13. Santos: 83.67 (0.97%)

    14. Internacional: 100.33 (0.81%)

    15. Athletico-PR: 100.33 (0.81%)

    16. Coritiba: 117 (0.69%)

    17. Vitoria: 117 (0.69%)

    18. Vasco: 117 (0.69%)

    19. Chapecoense-SC: 158.67 (0.51%)

    20. Remo: 200.33 (0.4%)

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