Watford vs Derby County predictions, Feb 21, 2026

Feb 14, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

English League Championship, on Saturday,

Watford

Derby

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Watford FC prepares to host Derby County in the English League Championship on February 21, 2026, both teams enter the match with contrasting recent performances. Watford has struggled significantly, failing to secure a win in their last five matches, which has put immense pressure on their home form. In contrast, Derby County arrives with a more favorable record, having clinched three victories in their last five outings, showcasing a resurgence in confidence.

Tactically, Watford may need to reassess their approach to regain momentum. Their inability to convert chances into goals has been a critical factor, while Derby’s recent success can be attributed to a solid defense and effective counter-attacking strategies.

Bookmaker odds favor Watford slightly at 1.95 for a home win, reflecting potential home advantage, while Derby’s odds of 3.84 highlight the upset potential given their current form. According to model predictions, Watford has a 51.2% probability of winning, but with Derby’s recent performance suggesting they are a formidable opponent, the outcome remains uncertain. Given the stakes, fans can expect a competitive match with both teams eager to make a statement.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-02-14T10:52:03+00:00.

Watford
48.1%		 Draw
26.9%		 Derby
24.9%

Outrights of English League Championship Watford: 0.45% Derby: 0.45%

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 1.99 3.57 3.72
Pinnacle 1.95 3.47 3.89

Latest Results

07.02.26 Southampton FC – Watford FC – 1:0
03.02.26 Hull City – Watford FC – 0:0
31.01.26 Watford FC – Swansea City – 0:2
24.01.26 Blackburn Rovers – Watford FC – 1:1
21.01.26 Watford FC – Portsmouth FC – 1:1		 07.02.26 Derby County – Ipswich Town – 1:2
30.01.26 Bristol City – Derby County – 0:5
23.01.26 Derby County – West Bromwich Albion – 1:1
20.01.26 Charlton Athletic – Derby County – 1:2
17.01.26 Preston North End – Derby County – 0:1

Facts

  • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 5.
  • Watford is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Derby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Watford might have a minor edge in this game.
  • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Watford won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.8:1.8).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).

    Latest Head To Head

    22.11.25 Derby County – Watford FC – 2:3
    18.01.25 Derby County – Watford FC – 0:2
    24.08.24 Watford FC – Derby County – 2:1
    19.02.21 Watford FC – Derby County – 2:1
    16.10.20 Derby County – Watford FC – 0:1

    Standings

    2025/26

    Pl W D L Diff Pts
    1 Middlesbrough 31 18 7 6 49:30 19 61
    2 Coventry 31 17 8 6 63:35 28 59
    3 Ipswich 30 15 9 6 51:29 22 54
    4 Hull 31 16 6 9 50:43 7 54
    5 Millwall 31 15 8 8 39:36 3 53
    6 Wrexham 31 12 11 8 44:39 5 47
    7 Preston 31 12 11 8 38:34 4 47
    8 Bristol City 31 13 7 11 43:38 5 46
    9 Southampton 32 12 10 10 48:44 4 46
    10 Birmingham 32 12 10 10 43:39 4 46
    11 Derby 31 12 9 10 45:39 6 45
    12 Watford 31 11 11 9 39:36 3 44
    13 QPR 31 12 8 11 42:43 -1 44
    14 Stoke 32 12 7 13 34:29 5 43
    15 Swansea 31 12 6 13 38:37 1 42
    16 Norwich 32 11 6 15 42:42 0 39
    17 Sheffield Utd 31 12 3 16 44:45 -1 39
    18 Charlton 31 10 9 12 30:38 -8 39
    19 West Brom 32 9 7 16 32:47 -15 34
    20 Portsmouth 29 8 9 12 27:38 -11 33
    21 Leicester 32 10 8 14 44:51 -7 32
    22 Blackburn 31 8 8 15 27:40 -13 32
    23 Oxford Utd 32 6 10 16 28:44 -16 28
    24 Sheffield Wed 31 1 8 22 18:62 -44 -7

    English League Championship Outrights

    1. Middlesbrough: 2.18 (36.93%)

    2. Coventry: 3.05 (26.4%)

    3. Ipswich: 3.52 (22.92%)

    4. Millwall: 34.8 (2.32%)

    5. Hull City: 65.4 (1.23%)

    6. Blackburn: 100 (0.81%)

    7. Portsmouth: 100 (0.81%)

    8. West Brom: 100 (0.81%)

    9. Leicester: 100 (0.81%)

    10. Oxford Utd: 100 (0.81%)

    11. Charlton: 100 (0.81%)

    12. Southampton: 180.2 (0.45%)

    13. Wrexham: 180.2 (0.45%)

    14. QPR: 180.2 (0.45%)

    15. Preston: 180.2 (0.45%)

    16. Sheffield Utd: 180.2 (0.45%)

    17. Watford: 180.2 (0.45%)

    18. Stoke City: 180.2 (0.45%)

    19. Swansea: 180.2 (0.45%)

    20. Derby: 180.2 (0.45%)

    21. Bristol City: 180.2 (0.45%)

    22. Birmingham: 180.2 (0.45%)

    23. Norwich: 180.2 (0.45%)

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