Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutet predictions, Apr 25, 2026

Apr 24, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Madrid, on Saturday,

Merida Aguilar

Corentin Moutet

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

The upcoming ATP match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Corentin Moutet at the Madrid Open on April 25, 2026, promises to be a compelling encounter. Merida Aguilar comes into this match in strong form, having secured victories in 4 of his last 5 matches. His powerful groundstrokes and aggressive baseline play have been key components of his recent success, allowing him to dictate rallies and utilize his home advantage effectively.

On the other hand, Corentin Moutet has struggled recently, winning only 2 of his last 5 encounters. While Moutet possesses a versatile playing style and good court coverage, he will need to sharpen his consistency if he hopes to outmaneuver Merida Aguilar. The psychological advantage of playing at home could bolster Merida Aguilar’s performance, especially given the backing of local fans.

Bookmakers reflect a competitive matchup with odds of 2.09 for Merida Aguilar and 1.72 for Moutet. Statistical predictions suggest a slight edge for Moutet, with an estimated 53.1% probability of an away win. However, given Merida Aguilar’s current form and familiarity with the playing conditions, this clash could swing either way, highlighting the unpredictable nature of tennis.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-23T20:52:02+00:00.

Merida Aguilar
43.3%		 Moutet
56.7%

Prediction (the most likely score): 0:2

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Watch Watch and Bet Merida Aguilar – Moutet available at: Bet Now (Full Screen)

Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 2.21 1.67
MarathonBet 2.21 1.73 Watch Watch and Bet
Pinnacle 2.11 1.71

Latest Results

23.04.26 Marco Trungelliti – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 1:2
21.04.26 Marco Trungelliti – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2
20.04.26 Billy Harris – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2
12.04.26 Ethan Quinn – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 2:0
11.04.26 Francesco Maestrelli – Daniel Merida Aguilar – 0:2		 16.04.26 Corentin Moutet – Lorenzo Musetti – 0:2
13.04.26 Ignacio Buse – Corentin Moutet – 0:2
08.04.26 Corentin Moutet – Casper Ruud – 0:2
07.04.26 Corentin Moutet – Alexandre Muller – 2:0
03.04.26 Corentin Moutet – Marco Trungelliti – 1:2

Facts

  • Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 102. Moutet is ranked ATP: 31.
  • Merida Aguilar is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • Moutet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
  • The players have not played against each other recently.

    • Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Main

    1/64-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Bye
    2 Bonzi B. (Q) Droguet T. (Q) 2 : 1
    3 Moller E. (Q) Cina F. (WC) 2 : 0
    4 Bye Diallo G. (32)
    5 Norrie C. (19) Bye
    6 Machac T. Comesana F. 2 : 1
    7 Bautista-Agut R. Tirante T. A. 0 : 2
    8 Bye Paul T. (15)
    9 Rublev A. (9) Bye
    10 Zhang Z. (PR) Kopriva V. 0 : 2
    11 Sonego L. Lajovic D. (Q) 0 : 2
    12 Bye Rinderknech A. (22)
    13 Fonseca J. (27) Bye
    14 Bergs Z. Cilic M. 1 : 2
    15 Jodar R. (WC) De Jong J. 2 : 1
    16 Bye De Minaur A. (5)
    17 Shelton B. (4) Bye
    18 Prizmic D. (Q) Berrettini M. 2 : 0
    19 Basilashvili N. (Q) Ofner S. 0 : 2
    20 Bye Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    21 Fils A. (21) Bye
    22 Buse I. Mannarino A. 2 : 0
    23 Brooksby J. Nava E. 0 : 2
    24 Bye Vacherot V. (14)
    25 Lehecka J. (11) Bye
    26 Tabilo A. Royer V. 2 : 0
    27 Muller A. Struff J-L. 0 : 2
    28 Bye Michelsen A. (33)
    29 Griekspoor T. (29) Bye
    30 Dzumhur D. Bellucci M. 2 : 0
    31 Faria J. (Q) Hurkacz H. 0 : 2
    32 Bye Musetti L. (6)
    33 Bublik A. (8) Bye
    34 Kypson P. (LL) Tsitsipas S. 1 : 2
    35 Trungelliti M. (LL) Merida Aguilar D. (Q) 1 : 2
    36 Bye Moutet C. (26)
    37 Davidovich Fokina A. (20) Bye
    38 Carreno-Busta P. (WC) Fucsovics M. 2 : 1
    39 Munar J. Shevchenko A. 2 : 0
    40 Bye Ruud C. (12)
    41 Cerundolo F. (16) Bye
    42 Hanfmann Y. Giron M. 2 : 1
    43 Altmaier D. Cerundolo J. M. 0 : 2
    44 Bye Darderi L. (18)
    45 Nakashima B. (28) Bye
    46 Garin C. (LL) Blockx A. 1 : 2
    47 Gaubas V. (Q) Baez S. 2 : 0
    48 Bye Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49 Medvedev D. (7) Bye
    50 Marozsan F. Quinn E. 2 : 0
    51 Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) Opelka R. (RET.) 0 : 0
    52 Bye Shapovalov D. (31)
    53 Tien L. (17) Bye
    54 Vallejo D. (Q) Dimitrov G. 2 : 0
    55 Ugo Carabelli C. Monfils G. (WC) 2 : 0
    56 Bye Cobolli F. (10)
    57 Khachanov K. (13) Bye
    58 Landaluce M. (WC) Walton A. 0 : 2
    59 Popyrin A. Damm M. (Q) 0 : 2
    60 Bye Mensik J. (23)
    61 Humbert U. (30) Bye
    62 Atmane T. Kecmanovic M. 2 : 0
    63 Borges N. Navone M. 0 : 2
    64 Bye Zverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals

    1 Sinner J. (1) Bonzi B. (Q)
    2 Moller E. (Q) Diallo G. (32)
    3 Norrie C. (19) Machac T.
    4 Tirante T. A. Paul T. (15)
    5 Rublev A. (9) Kopriva V.
    6 Lajovic D. Rinderknech A. (22)
    7 Fonseca J. (27) Cilic M.
    8 Jodar R. De Minaur A. (5)
    9 Shelton B. (4) Prizmic D.
    10 Ofner S. Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    11 Fils A. (21) Buse I.
    12 Nava E. Vacherot V. (14)
    13 Lehecka J. (11) Tabilo A.
    14 Struff J-L. Michelsen A. (33)
    15 Griekspoor T. (29) Dzumhur D.
    16 Hurkacz H. Musetti L. (6)
    17 Bublik A. (8) Tsitsipas S.
    18 Merida Aguilar D. Moutet C. (26)
    19 Davidovich Fokina A. (20) Carreno-Busta P.
    20 Munar J. Ruud C. (12)
    21 Cerundolo F. (16) Hanfmann Y.
    22 Cerundolo J. M. Darderi L. (18)
    23 Nakashima B. (28) Blockx A.
    24 Gaubas V. Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    25 Medvedev D. (7) Marozsan F.
    26 Budkov Kjaer N. Shapovalov D. (31)
    27 Tien L. (17) Vallejo D.
    28 Ugo Carabelli C. Cobolli F. (10)
    29 Khachanov K. (13) Walton A.
    30 Damm M. Mensik J. (23)
    31 Humbert U. (30) Atmane T.
    32 Navone M. Zverev A. (2)

    1/16-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16
    9 TBD #17 TBD #18
    10 TBD #19 TBD #20
    11 TBD #21 TBD #22
    12 TBD #23 TBD #24
    13 TBD #25 TBD #26
    14 TBD #27 TBD #28
    15 TBD #29 TBD #30
    16 TBD #31 TBD #32

    1/8-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8
    5 TBD #9 TBD #10
    6 TBD #11 TBD #12
    7 TBD #13 TBD #14
    8 TBD #15 TBD #16

    Quarter-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4
    3 TBD #5 TBD #6
    4 TBD #7 TBD #8

    Semi-finals

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2
    2 TBD #3 TBD #4

    Final

    1 TBD #1 TBD #2

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