Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez predictions, Apr 23, 2026

Apr 22, 2026 0 Comment By Yuriy Borshchenko

ATP Madrid, on Thursday,

Gaubas

Baez

Score, Highlights

Short Preview

As Vilius Gaubas prepares to face Sebastian Baez in the ATP Madrid event on April 23, 2026, both players arrive with similar recent forms, having each secured victories in 2 of their last 5 matches. Gaubas, playing at home, will look to leverage the familiar conditions to establish an early advantage, while Baez, the away favorite, will aim to utilize his tactical precision and strong baseline game to dominate the court.

Gaubas has shown moments of brilliance but has struggled with consistency, which might prove crucial against Baez, known for his relentless aggression and ability to maintain high pressure throughout matches. The bookmakers favor Baez significantly, with odds set at 1.33 for an away victory compared to Gaubas’s 3.25. Our model attributes a 69.4% probability of an away win to Baez, suggesting that he is the stronger contender.

Tactically, Gaubas will need to focus on building effective rallies and minimizing unforced errors to turn the tide in his favor. Ultimately, while Baez appears to have the upper hand on paper, tennis can quickly shift, and Gaubas at home could surprise with an inspired performance.

This preview is generated with the Welcome.Bet AI Insights Engine, combining form data, betting odds, and semantic SEO optimization to deliver relevant match analysis for fans and bettors alike from 2026-04-21T20:52:02+00:00.

Gaubas
31.4%		 Baez
68.6%

Prediction (the most likely score): 0:2

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Betting Odds

1 X 2
betsson 3.1 1.38
MarathonBet 3.11 1.41 Watch Watch and Bet
Pinnacle 2.98 1.38

Latest Results

21.04.26 Rei Sakamoto – Vilius Gaubas – 1:2
20.04.26 Arthur Gea – Vilius Gaubas – 0:2
11.04.26 Hamad Medjedovic – Vilius Gaubas – 2:0
06.04.26 Vilius Gaubas – Stefano Travaglia – 0:2
31.03.26 Sebastian Baez – Vilius Gaubas – 2:0		 14.04.26 Tomas Machac – Sebastian Baez – 2:1
07.04.26 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia – Sebastian Baez – 2:0
06.04.26 Sebastian Baez – Stanislas Wawrinka – 2:0
03.04.26 Sebastian Baez – Titouan Droguet – 0:2
31.03.26 Sebastian Baez – Vilius Gaubas – 2:0

Facts

  • Gaubas is ranked ATP: 124. Baez is ranked ATP: 65.
  • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
  • Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Baez is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gaubas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

    Latest Head To Head

    31.03.26 Sebastian Baez – Vilius Gaubas – 2:0
    17.09.23 Sebastian Baez – Vilius Gaubas – Canceled

    Standings

    Draw

    Singles – Qualification

    Semi-finals

    1 Trungelliti M. (1) Gojo B. 2 : 0
    2 Harris B. Merida Aguilar D. (13) 0 : 2
    3 Garin C. (2) Blanchet U. (Alt) 2 : 0
    4 Pellegrino A. Damm M. (24) 0 : 2
    5 Svajda Z. (3) Sakamoto R. (WC) 0 : 2
    6 Gea A. Gaubas V. (22) 0 : 2
    7 Prizmic D. (4) O’Connell C. 2 : 1
    8 Piros Z. Barrios Vera T. (21) 2 : 0
    9 Vukic A. (5) Llamas Ruiz P. 0 : 2
    10 Moller E. Gaston H. (18) 2 : 0
    11 Halys Q. (6) Faria J. 1 : 2
    12 Harris L. McDonald M. (23) 2 : 0
    13 Kypson P. (7) Kouame M. (WC) 2 : 0
    14 Travaglia S. Basilashvili N. (20) 0 : 2
    15 Vallejo D. (8) Martinez P. 2 : 0
    16 Rocha H. Choinski J. (19) 2 : 1
    17 Kovacevic A. (9) Echargui M. 1 : 2
    18 Budkov Kjaer N. Maestrelli F. (16) 2 : 0
    19 van Assche L. (10) Dedura D. (WC) 0 : 2
    20 Blanch Dar. (WC) Bonzi B. (15) 0 : 2
    21 Wu Y. (11) Dhamne M. (WC) 2 : 0
    22 Virtanen O. Droguet T. (17) 1 : 2
    23 Hijikata R. (12) Rodesch C. 0 : 2
    24 Lajovic D. Arnaldi M. (14) 2 : 1

    Final

    1 Trungelliti M. (1) Merida Aguilar D. (13) 0 : 2
    2 Garin C. (2) Damm M. (24) 1 : 2
    3 Sakamoto R. Gaubas V. (22) 1 : 2
    4 Prizmic D. (4) Piros Z. 2 : 0
    5 Llamas Ruiz P. Moller E. 0 : 2
    6 Faria J. Harris L. (RET.) 1 : 1
    7 Kypson P. (7) Basilashvili N. (20) 1 : 2
    8 Vallejo D. (8) Rocha H. 2 : 1
    9 Echargui M. Budkov Kjaer N. 0 : 2
    10 Dedura D. Bonzi B. (15) 0 : 2
    11 Wu Y. (11) Droguet T. (17) 0 : 2
    12 Rodesch C. Lajovic D. 0 : 2

    ATP Madrid Outrights

    1. Sinner Jannik: 1.53 (41.09%)

    2. Zverev Alexander: 9.33 (6.72%)

    3. Shelton Ben: 20 (3.14%)

    4. Medvedev Daniil: 26.67 (2.35%)

    5. Auger-Aliassime Felix: 31.83 (1.97%)

    6. Fils Arthur: 32 (1.96%)

    7. Bublik Alexander: 35.5 (1.77%)

    8. Fonseca Joao: 37.83 (1.66%)

    9. Ruud Casper: 45.67 (1.37%)

    10. Cobolli Flavio: 50.33 (1.25%)

    11. Mensik Jakub: 55.33 (1.13%)

    12. De Minaur Alex: 55.33 (1.13%)

    13. Darderi Luciano: 62.33 (1.01%)

    14. Jodar Rafael: 64.67 (0.97%)

    15. Cerundolo Francisco: 64.67 (0.97%)

    16. Lehecka Jiri: 64.67 (0.97%)

    17. Davidovich Fokina Alejandro: 64.67 (0.97%)

    18. Musetti Lorenzo: 65.67 (0.96%)

    19. Khachanov Karen: 68 (0.92%)

    20. Tien Learner: 68 (0.92%)

    21. Humbert Ugo: 83.67 (0.75%)

    22. Rublev Andrey: 87.83 (0.71%)

    23. Landaluce Martin: 100.33 (0.63%)

    24. Shapovalov Denis: 100.33 (0.63%)

    25. Berrettini Matteo: 104.5 (0.6%)

    26. Blockx Alexander: 108.67 (0.58%)

    27. Paul Tommy: 108.67 (0.58%)

    28. Baez Sebastian: 108.67 (0.58%)

    29. Hurkacz Hubert: 108.67 (0.58%)

    30. Moutet Corentin: 112.83 (0.56%)

    31. Machac Tomas: 112.83 (0.56%)

    32. Griekspoor Tallon: 112.83 (0.56%)

    33. Tsitsipas Stefanos: 112.83 (0.56%)

    34. Vacherot Valentin: 113.67 (0.55%)

    35. Munar Jaume: 117 (0.54%)

    36. Ugo Carabelli Camilo: 125.33 (0.5%)

    37. Norrie Cameron: 125.33 (0.5%)

    38. Michelsen Alex: 125.33 (0.5%)

    39. Dimitrov Grigor: 125.33 (0.5%)

    40. Nakashima Brandon: 125.33 (0.5%)

    41. Tabilo Alejandro: 125.33 (0.5%)

    42. Rinderknech Arthur: 125.33 (0.5%)

    43. Marozsan Fabian: 125.33 (0.5%)

    44. Kecmanovic Miomir: 133.67 (0.47%)

    45. Carreno-Busta Pablo: 137.83 (0.46%)

    46. Etcheverry Tomas Martin: 142 (0.44%)

    47. Fucsovics Marton: 142 (0.44%)

    48. Sonego Lorenzo: 142 (0.44%)

    49. Van De Zandschulp Botic: 142 (0.44%)

    50. Navone Mariano: 142 (0.44%)

    51. Muller Alexandre: 146.17 (0.43%)

    52. Cerundolo Juan Manuel: 150.33 (0.42%)

    53. Bellucci Mattia: 150.33 (0.42%)

    54. Cilic Marin: 150.33 (0.42%)

    55. Hanfmann Yannick: 158.67 (0.4%)

    56. Buse Ignacio: 158.67 (0.4%)

    57. Nava Emilio: 158.67 (0.4%)

    58. Bergs Zizou: 158.67 (0.4%)

    59. Popyrin Alexei: 158.67 (0.4%)

    60. Tirante Thiago Agustin: 158.67 (0.4%)

    61. Collignon Raphael: 158.67 (0.4%)

    62. Opelka Reilly: 162.83 (0.39%)

    63. Diallo Gabriel: 192 (0.33%)

    64. Dzumhur Damir: 200.33 (0.31%)

    65. Giron Marcos: 208.67 (0.3%)

    66. Zhang Zhizhen: 208.67 (0.3%)

    67. Brooksby Jenson: 208.67 (0.3%)

    68. Borges Nuno: 217 (0.29%)

    69. Altmaier Daniel: 225.33 (0.28%)

    70. De Jong Jesper: 233.67 (0.27%)

    71. Kopriva Vit: 233.67 (0.27%)

    72. Cina Federico: 233.67 (0.27%)

    73. Quinn Ethan: 233.67 (0.27%)

    74. Atmane Terence: 233.67 (0.27%)

    75. Bautista-Agut Roberto: 233.67 (0.27%)

    76. Mannarino Adrian: 233.67 (0.27%)

    77. Walton Adam: 233.67 (0.27%)

    78. Comesana Francisco: 233.67 (0.27%)

    79. Shevchenko Alexander: 233.67 (0.27%)

    80. Monfils Gael: 233.67 (0.27%)

    81. Royer Valentin: 233.67 (0.27%)

    82. Ofner Sebastian: 233.67 (0.27%)

    83. Struff Jan-Lennard: 233.67 (0.27%)

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